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Start
21.01.2026 20:00 UTC
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21.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League
Newcastle - PSV Eindhoven
3
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Newcastle - PSV Eindhoven January 21, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Newcastle.
Line favourite market consensus: Newcastle. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.37 / X 5.50 / 2 7.22
- 1X2 market: Newcastle 69.4% / X 17.3% / PSV Eindhoven 13.3%
- Total 2.5: over probability 70.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.0%
1
69.5%
X
17.3%
2
13.2%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.3%
Over 2.5
70.2%
Under 2.5
29.8%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Newcastle - PSV Eindhoven
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
7.22
market consensus · line only
X
5.50
market consensus · line only
1
1.37
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
3.13
market consensus · line only
12
1.15
market consensus · line only
1X
1.10
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
3.11
market consensus · line only
2 -1
2.52
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
6.58
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
1.36
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.34
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
3.16
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.37
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.55
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.38 72.5% | 1.46 68.5% | 1.39 71.9% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.39 71.9% | |
| X | 5.30 18.9% | 5.30 18.9% | 5.94 16.8% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.25 19.1% | 5.60 17.9% |
| 6.75 14.8% | 5.90 17.0% | 7.70 13.0% | 6.50 15.4% | 7.50 13.3% | 7.90 12.7% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.40 41.7% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.35 42.6% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.35 42.6% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.32 43.1% | 2.45 40.8% |
| yes | 1.53 65.4% | 1.54 64.9% | 1.54 64.9% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.54 64.9% | 1.60 62.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.90 34.5% | 3.24 30.9% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.15 31.8% | 3.32 30.1% |
| home_away | 1.11 90.1% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.16 86.2% |
| home_draw | 1.10 90.9% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.11 90.1% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.09 91.7% | — | 1.06 94.3% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.07 93.5% |
| Over 2.0 | — | — | 1.09 91.7% |
| Over 2.25 | — | — | 1.20 83.3% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.35 74.1% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.99 50.3% | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.00 33.3% | — | — |
| Over 5.5 | 5.25 19.1% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 7.00 14.3% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 3.10 32.3% | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.90 52.6% | 1.91 52.4% | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.38 72.5% | — | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.15 87.0% | — | — |
Match center
Newcastle
D
L
W
W
W
Newcastle
2:2
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Newcastle
1:2
Marseille
Marseille
Newcastle
2:0
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
Newcastle
3:0
Benfica
Benfica
Newcastle
4:0
Union St. Gilloise
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
2.4
Scored
0.8
Conceded
10
Points
PSV Eindhoven
L
W
D
W
D
PSV Eindhoven
2:3
Atletiko Madrid
Atletiko Madrid
PSV Eindhoven
4:1
Liverpul
Liverpul
PSV Eindhoven
1:1
Olympiakos Piraeus
PSV Eindhoven
6:2
Napoli
Napoli
PSV Eindhoven
1:1
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
2.8
Scored
1.6
Conceded
8
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyNewcastle - PSV Eindhoven
Newcastle
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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