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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
30.09.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Pafos - Bayern München

World Football
Pafos
Pafos
1 : 5
Finished
Bayern München
Bayern München

Pafos take on Bayern München on September 30, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Pafos 1-2-0, Bayern München 1-1-2. The bookmaker line makes Bayern München the favourite at about 85%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Pafos - Bayern München September 30, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayern München.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayern München. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 20.74 / X 9.18 / 2 1.13
  • 1X2 market: Pafos 4.7% / X 10.4% / Bayern München 84.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 72.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.4% 13 books · best price +1.8%
1 4.6%
X 10.4%
2 84.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.8%
Over 2.5 72.1%
Under 2.5 27.9%

Odds source: consensus of 13 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, Bet365, Betano, Betfair). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.09.2025 19:00 UTC
Market 1 4.6% @ 20.74 / X 10.5% @ 9.18 / 2 84.9% @ 1.13
Match center

Pafos - Bayern München

Form 3/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.13 market consensus · line only
X 9.11 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.02 market consensus · line only
12 1.08 market consensus · line only
1X 6.15 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.02 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.14 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.15 market consensus · line only
1 +0.5 5.75 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.31 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 3.39 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.72 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.06 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
22.00 4.6%
X 9.25 10.8%
1.13 88.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
23.00 4.4% 19.50 5.1% 20.00 5.0% 23.00 4.4% 21.00 4.8% 26.00 3.9%
X 8.40 11.9% 9.30 10.8% 10.20 9.8% 9.50 10.5% 9.00 11.1% 10.00 10.0%
1.11 90.1% 1.13 88.5% 1.15 87.0% 1.11 90.1% 1.15 87.0% 1.11 90.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.73 57.8% 1.74 57.5% 1.74 57.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1% 1.69 59.2% 1.72 58.1%
yes 2.00 50.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.21 45.3% 2.10 47.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.02 98.0% 1.02 98.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.03 97.1% 1.02 98.0% 1.02 98.0%
home_away 1.06 94.3% 1.08 92.6% 1.07 93.5% 1.08 92.6% 1.07 93.5% 1.08 92.6%
home_draw 6.00 16.7% 6.35 15.8% 6.50 15.4% 6.10 16.4% 6.25 16.0% 6.90 14.5%
Match center
Pafos
D D W
17.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Pafos 0:0 Olympiakos Piraeus
26.08 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Pafos 1:1 FK Crvena Zvezda
12.08 17:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Pafos 2:0 Dynamo KyivDynamo Kyiv
1 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.3 Conceded
5 Points
Bayern München
W D L L
17.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Bayern München 3:1 ChelseaChelsea
16.04 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Bayern München 2:2 InterInter
23.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Bayern München 1:4 BarselonaBarselona
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Bayern München 0:1 Aston VillaAston Villa
1 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.5 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPafos - Bayern München

Pafos
0 matches total
Bayern München
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history