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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
26.08.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Pafos - FK Crvena Zvezda

World Football
Pafos
Pafos
1 : 1
Finished
FK Crvena Zvezda
FK Crvena Zvezda

Pafos go head-to-head with FK Crvena Zvezda on August 26, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Pafos 3-0-0, FK Crvena Zvezda 1-1-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Sportsbooks lean towards FK Crvena Zvezda, an implied 47% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Pafos - FK Crvena Zvezda August 26, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FK Crvena Zvezda.

Line favourite market consensus: FK Crvena Zvezda. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.33 / X 3.70 / 2 2.01
  • 1X2 market: Pafos 28.2% / X 25.3% / FK Crvena Zvezda 46.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.6% 13 books · best price +2.5%
1 28.2%
X 25.4%
2 46.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.6%
Over 2.5 58.8%
Under 2.5 41.2%

Odds source: consensus of 13 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 26.08.2025 19:00 UTC
Market 1 28.1% @ 3.33 / X 25.3% @ 3.70 / 2 46.6% @ 2.01
Match center

Pafos - FK Crvena Zvezda

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.01 market consensus · line only
X 3.72 market consensus · line only
1 3.34 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.31 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 1.77 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.34 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.13 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.03 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.79 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.61 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.30 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.38 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.53 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.48 28.7%
X 3.95 25.3%
2.00 50.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.30 30.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.44 29.1% 3.50 28.6% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3%
X 3.75 26.7% 3.65 27.4% 3.77 26.5% 3.50 28.6% 3.80 26.3% 3.75 26.7%
2.04 49.0% 2.04 49.0% 2.06 48.5% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.38 42.0% 2.43 41.2% 2.40 41.7% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.38 42.0% 2.36 42.4% 2.45 40.8%
yes 1.53 65.4% 1.54 64.9% 1.52 65.8% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.52 65.8% 1.55 64.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.33 75.2% 1.32 75.8% 1.29 77.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1% 1.32 75.8%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.70 58.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.73 57.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.78 56.2%
Match center
Pafos
W W W
19.08 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Pafos 2:1 FK Crvena Zvezda
12.08 17:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Pafos 2:0 Dynamo KyivDynamo Kyiv
30.07 18:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Pafos 1:0 Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv
3 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.7 Scored
0.3 Conceded
9 Points
FK Crvena Zvezda
L D W
19.08 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
FK Crvena Zvezda 1:2 PafosPafos
12.08 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
FK Crvena Zvezda 1:1 Lech Poznan
29.07 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
FK Crvena Zvezda 5:1 Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.3 Scored
1.3 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPafos - FK Crvena Zvezda

Pafos
1 matches total
FK Crvena Zvezda
Pafos: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
FK Crvena Zvezda: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Pafos 2:1 (19.08 19:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 19.08 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 2

Match history

19.08 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Pafos
2:1
FK Crvena Zvezda