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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
26.11.2025 17:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Pafos - Monaco

World Football
Pafos
Pafos
2 : 2
Finished
Monaco
Monaco

Pafos face Monaco on November 26, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Pafos 1-3-1, Monaco 2-2-1. The bookmaker line makes Monaco the favourite at about 63%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Pafos - Monaco November 26, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Monaco.

Line favourite market consensus: Monaco. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 6.30 / X 4.30 / 2 1.52
  • 1X2 market: Pafos 15.2% / X 22.2% / Monaco 62.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 15.1%
X 22.2%
2 62.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 55.6%
Under 2.5 44.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 26.11.2025 17:45 UTC
Market 1 15.1% @ 6.30 / X 22.2% @ 4.30 / 2 62.7% @ 1.52
Match center

Pafos - Monaco

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.52 market consensus · line only
X 4.30 market consensus · line only
1 6.30 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.13 market consensus · line only
12 1.22 market consensus · line only
1X 2.54 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.13 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.02 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.52 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.86 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.72 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.15 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.98 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.79 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
6.40 15.6% 5.00 20.0% 6.65 15.0% 6.00 16.7% 6.25 16.0% 6.40 15.6%
X 4.20 23.8% 4.15 24.1% 4.42 22.6% 4.00 25.0% 4.50 22.2% 4.50 22.2%
1.50 66.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.56 64.1% 1.53 65.4% 1.48 67.6% 1.55 64.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.95 51.3% 2.18 45.9% 1.94 51.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.92 52.1% 1.98 50.5%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.69 59.2% 1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.79 55.9% 1.89 52.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.11 90.1% 1.14 87.7% 1.14 87.7% 1.14 87.7% 1.15 87.0% 1.14 87.7%
home_away 1.17 85.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.21 82.6% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 2.50 40.0% 2.58 38.8% 2.40 41.7% 2.38 42.0% 2.57 38.9% 2.62 38.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.0 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.25 1.09 91.7%
Over 1.5 1.22 82.0% 1.18 84.8%
Over 2.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 2.75 1.85 54.1%
Over 3.0 2.07 48.3%
Over 3.5 2.70 37.0%
Over 4.5 5.00 20.0%
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 1.5 4.20 23.8%
Under 2.5 2.10 47.6%
Under 2.75 2.05 48.8%
Under 3.0 1.83 54.6%
Under 3.5 1.45 69.0%
Under 4.5 1.17 85.5%
Match center
Pafos
W D L D D
05.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Pafos 1:0 VillarrealVillarreal
21.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Pafos 0:0 Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty
30.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Pafos 1:5 BavariyaBavariya
17.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Pafos 0:0 Olympiakos Piraeus
26.08 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Pafos 1:1 FK Crvena Zvezda
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
6 Points
Monaco
W D D L W
04.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Monaco 1:0 Bodo/Glimt
22.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Monaco 0:0 TottenkhemTottenkhem
01.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Monaco 2:2 Manchester CityManchester City
18.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Monaco 1:4 Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV
22.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Monaco 5:1 FK Crvena Zvezda
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPafos - Monaco

Pafos
0 matches total
Monaco
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history