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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
28.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Pafos - Slavia Praha

World Football
Pafos
Pafos
4 : 1
Finished
Slavia Praha
Slavia Praha

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Pafos - Slavia Praha January 28, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Slavia Praha.

Line favourite market consensus: Slavia Praha. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.96 / X 3.53 / 2 2.33
  • 1X2 market: Pafos 32.2% / X 26.9% / Slavia Praha 40.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 32.2%
X 27.0%
2 40.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.1%
Over 2.5 56.2%
Under 2.5 43.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Pafos - Slavia Praha

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.33 market consensus · line only
X 3.53 market consensus · line only
1 2.96 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.40 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.62 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.44 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.18 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.26 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.39 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.19 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.34 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.56 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.95 33.9% 2.59 38.6% 3.18 31.5% 2.90 34.5% 3.10 32.3% 3.05 32.8%
X 3.50 28.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.70 27.0% 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.55 28.2%
2.25 44.4% 2.77 36.1% 2.33 42.9% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.27 44.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.50 40.0% 2.16 46.3% 2.37 42.2% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.35 42.6% 2.38 42.0% 2.34 42.7% 2.50 40.0%
yes 1.50 66.7% 1.70 58.8% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.38 72.5% 1.41 70.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.41 70.9%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.62 61.7% 1.68 59.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.65 60.6% 1.69 59.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% 1.00 100.0%
Over 0.75 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.0 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.25 1.08 92.6%
Over 1.5 1.20 83.3%
Over 2.25 1.76 56.8%
Over 2.5 1.62 61.7% 1.97 50.8%
Over 3.5 2.55 39.2%
Over 4.5 4.33 23.1%
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 1.5 4.33 23.1%
Under 2.25 2.12 47.2%
Under 2.5 2.25 44.4% 1.93 51.8%
Under 3.5 1.50 66.7%
Under 4.5 1.20 83.3%
Match center
Pafos
L L D W D
21.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Pafos 0:1 ChelseaChelsea
10.12 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Pafos 0:2 JuventusJuventus
26.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Pafos 2:2 MonacoMonaco
05.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Pafos 1:0 VillarrealVillarreal
21.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Pafos 0:0 Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
5 Points
Slavia Praha
L L D L D
21.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Slavia Praha 2:4 BarselonaBarselona
09.12 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Slavia Praha 0:3 TottenkhemTottenkhem
25.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Slavia Praha 0:0 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
04.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Slavia Praha 0:3 ArsenalArsenal
22.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Slavia Praha 0:0 AtalantaAtalanta
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.4 Scored
2.0 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPafos - Slavia Praha

Pafos
0 matches total
Slavia Praha
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history