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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
05.11.2025 17:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Pafos - Villarreal

World Football
Pafos
Pafos
1 : 0
Finished
Villarreal
Villarreal

Pafos take on Villarreal on November 5, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Pafos 0-3-1, Villarreal 0-1-2. Sportsbooks lean towards Villarreal, an implied 71% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Pafos - Villarreal November 5, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Villarreal.

Line favourite market consensus: Villarreal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 8.75 / X 5.30 / 2 1.34
  • 1X2 market: Pafos 11.0% / X 18.0% / Villarreal 71.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 10.9%
X 18.0%
2 71.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 58.7%
Under 2.5 41.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.11.2025 17:45 UTC
Market 1 10.9% @ 8.75 / X 18.0% @ 5.30 / 2 71.1% @ 1.34
Match center

Pafos - Villarreal

Form 4/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.34 market consensus · line only
X 5.30 market consensus · line only
1 8.75 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.08 market consensus · line only
12 1.16 market consensus · line only
1X 3.32 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.09 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.35 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.53 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.63 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.32 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.83 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.94 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
7.60 13.2% 7.30 13.7% 10.00 10.0% 8.50 11.8% 8.50 11.8% 9.00 11.1%
X 5.40 18.5% 4.80 20.8% 5.49 18.2% 5.00 20.0% 5.50 18.2% 5.40 18.5%
1.34 74.6% 1.43 69.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.37 73.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.77 56.5% 2.00 50.0% 1.79 55.9% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6% 1.77 56.5% 1.77 56.5%
yes 1.93 51.8% 1.82 55.0% 1.94 51.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.94 51.6% 2.13 47.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.07 93.5% 1.07 93.5% 1.06 94.3% 1.08 92.6% 1.09 91.7% 1.08 92.6%
home_away 1.11 90.1% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.16 86.2% 1.18 84.8%
home_draw 3.10 32.3% 3.42 29.2% 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.52 28.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.03 97.1% 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.5 1.20 83.3%
Over 2.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 2.75 1.84 54.4%
Over 3.0 2.05 48.8%
Over 3.5 2.60 38.5%
Over 4.5 4.75 21.1%
Over 5.5 7.50 13.3%
Under 0.5 11.00 9.1%
Under 1.5 4.50 22.2%
Under 2.5 2.25 44.4%
Under 2.75 2.06 48.5%
Under 3.0 1.85 54.1%
Under 3.5 1.48 67.6%
Under 4.5 1.18 84.8%
Under 5.5 1.08 92.6%
Match center
Pafos
D L D D
21.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Pafos 0:0 Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty
30.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Pafos 1:5 BavariyaBavariya
17.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Pafos 0:0 Olympiakos Piraeus
26.08 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Pafos 1:1 FK Crvena Zvezda
0 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
0.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
3 Points
Villarreal
L D L
21.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Villarreal 0:2 Manchester CityManchester City
01.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Villarreal 2:2 JuventusJuventus
16.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Villarreal 0:1 TottenkhemTottenkhem
0 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.7 Scored
1.7 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPafos - Villarreal

Pafos
0 matches total
Villarreal
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history