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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
17.09.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Paris Saint Germain - Atalanta

World Football
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
4 : 0
Finished
Atalanta
Atalanta

Paris Saint Germain take on Atalanta on September 17, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Paris Saint Germain 2-0-1, Atalanta 1-2-0. The bookmaker line makes Paris Saint Germain the favourite at about 67%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Paris Saint Germain - Atalanta September 17, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.

Line favourite market consensus: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.42 / X 4.95 / 2 7.09
  • 1X2 market: Paris Saint Germain 67.2% / X 19.3% / Atalanta 13.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2% 15 books · best price +3.5%
1 67.3%
X 19.2%
2 13.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.5%
Over 2.5 61.2%
Under 2.5 38.8%

Odds source: consensus of 15 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 17.09.2025 19:00 UTC
Market 1 67.2% @ 1.42 / X 19.3% @ 4.95 / 2 13.5% @ 7.09
Match center

Paris Saint Germain - Atalanta

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.14 market consensus · line only
X 4.96 market consensus · line only
1 1.42 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.89 market consensus · line only
12 1.18 market consensus · line only
1X 1.11 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.91 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.25 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 6.25 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.42 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.55 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.44 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.04 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.74 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.40 71.4%
X 5.12 19.5%
7.88 12.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.41 70.9% 1.42 70.4% 1.46 68.5% 1.44 69.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.47 68.0%
X 4.80 20.8% 5.10 19.6% 5.12 19.5% 4.75 21.1% 5.00 20.0% 4.90 20.4%
7.00 14.3% 7.00 14.3% 7.27 13.8% 6.50 15.4% 6.50 15.4% 7.00 14.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Dafabet Marathonbet
no 2.00 50.0% 2.04 49.0% 2.04 49.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3% 2.05 48.8% 1.97 50.8% 2.02 49.5%
yes 1.73 57.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.71 58.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.84 54.4% 1.71 58.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Dafabet
draw_away 2.80 35.7% 2.92 34.3% 2.75 36.4% 2.75 36.4% 2.80 35.7% 2.85 35.1%
home_away 1.14 87.7% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.16 86.2%
home_draw 1.10 90.9% 1.12 89.3% 1.11 90.1% 1.11 90.1% 1.13 88.5% 1.10 90.9%
Match center
Paris Saint Germain
W W L
31.05 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Paris Saint Germain 5:0 InterInter
07.05 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Paris Saint Germain 2:1 ArsenalArsenal
15.04 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Paris Saint Germain 2:3 Aston VillaAston Villa
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.3 Conceded
6 Points
Atalanta
D W D
23.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Atalanta 0:0 CelticCeltic
02.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Atalanta 3:0 Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk
19.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Atalanta 0:0 ArsenalArsenal
1 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
5 Points