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Start
28.01.2026 20:00 UTC
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28.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League
Paris Saint Germain - Newcastle
1
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Paris Saint Germain - Newcastle January 28, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.
Line favourite market consensus: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.59 / X 4.73 / 2 4.89
- 1X2 market: Paris Saint Germain 60.2% / X 20.2% / Newcastle 19.6%
- Total 2.5: over probability 71.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.5%
1
60.2%
X
20.2%
2
19.6%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.4%
Over 2.5
71.2%
Under 2.5
28.8%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Paris Saint Germain - Newcastle
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.89
market consensus · line only
X
4.73
market consensus · line only
1
1.59
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.39
market consensus · line only
12
1.19
market consensus · line only
1X
1.19
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.43
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.96
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
4.35
market consensus · line only
2 +1
7.70
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.32
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
3.26
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.74
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.42
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.58 63.3% | 1.52 65.8% | 1.66 60.2% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.60 62.5% | |
| X | 4.60 21.7% | 4.85 20.6% | 4.98 20.1% | 4.40 22.7% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.90 20.4% |
| 4.60 21.7% | 5.60 17.9% | 4.73 21.1% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.75 21.1% | 5.00 20.0% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.88 34.7% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.77 36.1% | 2.63 38.0% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.70 37.0% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.72 36.8% | 2.92 34.3% |
| yes | 1.38 72.5% | 1.54 64.9% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.45 69.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.35 42.6% | 2.37 42.2% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.42 41.3% | 2.38 42.0% |
| home_away | 1.15 87.0% | 1.21 82.6% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.21 82.6% |
| home_draw | 1.17 85.5% | 1.23 81.3% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.21 82.6% | 1.22 82.0% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.03 97.1% | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.10 90.9% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 1.33 75.2% | — | — |
| Over 3.0 | — | 1.86 53.8% | — |
| Over 3.25 | — | 1.92 52.1% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 1.83 54.6% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 2.80 35.7% | — | — |
| Over 5.5 | 4.75 21.1% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.00 9.1% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 6.50 15.4% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 3.25 30.8% | — | — |
| Under 3.0 | — | 2.04 49.0% | — |
| Under 3.25 | — | 1.98 50.5% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.95 51.3% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.42 70.4% | — | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.18 84.8% | — | — |
Match center
Paris Saint Germain
L
D
W
L
W
Paris Saint Germain
1:2
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
Paris Saint Germain
0:0
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
Paris Saint Germain
5:3
Tottenkhem
Tottenkhem
Paris Saint Germain
1:2
Bavariya
Bavariya
Paris Saint Germain
7:2
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
2.8
Scored
1.8
Conceded
7
Points
Newcastle
W
D
L
W
W
Newcastle
3:0
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
Newcastle
2:2
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Newcastle
1:2
Marseille
Marseille
Newcastle
2:0
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
Newcastle
3:0
Benfica
Benfica
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
2.2
Scored
0.8
Conceded
10
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyParis Saint Germain - Newcastle
Paris Saint Germain
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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