UEFA Champions League
PSV Eindhoven - Atletico Madrid
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction PSV Eindhoven - Atletico Madrid December 9, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atletico Madrid.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.91 / X 3.75 / 2 2.29
- 1X2 market: PSV Eindhoven 32.9% / X 25.5% / Atletico Madrid 41.7%
- Total 2.5: over probability 63.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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PSV Eindhoven - Atletico Madrid
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.88 34.7% | 2.96 33.8% | 3.02 33.1% | 2.88 34.7% | 2.95 33.9% | 2.90 34.5% | |
| X | 3.70 27.0% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.86 25.9% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.75 26.7% |
| 2.28 43.9% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.35 42.6% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.27 44.1% | 2.30 43.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.75 36.4% | 2.83 35.3% | 2.73 36.6% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.69 37.2% | 2.92 34.3% | 2.80 35.7% |
| yes | 1.40 71.4% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.41 70.9% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.41 70.9% | 1.45 69.0% | 1.41 70.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.42 70.4% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.44 69.4% |
| home_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.31 76.3% | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_draw | 1.62 61.7% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.68 59.5% | 1.67 59.9% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 96.2% | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.15 87.0% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 1.48 67.6% | — | — |
| Over 3.0 | — | 1.82 55.0% | — |
| Over 3.25 | — | 1.98 50.5% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.15 46.5% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.60 27.8% | — | — |
| Over 5.5 | 6.50 15.4% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.00 10.0% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 5.25 19.1% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.60 38.5% | — | — |
| Under 3.0 | — | 2.08 48.1% | — |
| Under 3.25 | — | 1.92 52.1% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.67 59.9% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.28 78.1% | — | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.10 90.9% | — | — |
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Full head-to-head historyPSV Eindhoven - Atletico Madrid
Match history
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