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Start
28.01.2026 20:00 UTC
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28.01.2026 20:00 UTC
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UEFA Champions League
PSV Eindhoven - Bayern München
1
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction PSV Eindhoven - Bayern München January 28, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayern München.
Line favourite market consensus: Bayern München. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.36 / X 4.77 / 2 1.53
- 1X2 market: PSV Eindhoven 17.8% / X 20.0% / Bayern München 62.2%
- Total 2.5: over probability 70.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.0%
1
17.8%
X
20.0%
2
62.3%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.5%
Over 2.5
70.1%
Under 2.5
29.9%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
PSV Eindhoven - Bayern München
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.53
market consensus · line only
X
4.77
market consensus · line only
1
5.36
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.16
market consensus · line only
12
1.19
market consensus · line only
1X
2.51
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.15
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.01
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
1.51
market consensus · line only
2 +1
1.81
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.34
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
3.14
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.73
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.43
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.10 19.6% | 5.30 18.9% | 5.64 17.7% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.50 18.2% | 5.60 17.9% | |
| X | 4.80 20.8% | 5.00 20.0% | 4.82 20.8% | 4.40 22.7% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.85 20.6% |
| 1.50 66.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.58 63.3% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.57 63.7% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.65 37.7% | 3.05 32.8% | 2.56 39.1% | 2.70 37.0% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.65 37.7% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.52 39.7% | 2.76 36.2% |
| yes | 1.44 69.4% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.46 68.5% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.46 68.5% | 1.49 67.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.14 87.7% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.17 85.5% |
| home_away | 1.13 88.5% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.21 82.6% |
| home_draw | 2.55 39.2% | 2.53 39.5% | 2.45 40.8% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.52 39.7% | 2.53 39.5% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.10 90.9% | — | 1.06 94.3% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.08 92.6% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.35 74.1% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.87 53.5% | — |
| Over 3.75 | — | 1.97 50.8% | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.00 33.3% | — | — |
| Over 5.5 | 5.25 19.1% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 6.50 15.4% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 3.10 32.3% | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.90 52.6% | 2.03 49.3% | — |
| Under 3.75 | — | 1.93 51.8% | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.38 72.5% | — | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.15 87.0% | — | — |
Match center
PSV Eindhoven
L
L
W
D
W
PSV Eindhoven
0:3
Nyukasl
Nyukasl
PSV Eindhoven
2:3
Atletiko Madrid
Atletiko Madrid
PSV Eindhoven
4:1
Liverpul
Liverpul
PSV Eindhoven
1:1
Olympiakos Piraeus
PSV Eindhoven
6:2
Napoli
Napoli
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
2.6
Scored
2.0
Conceded
7
Points
Bayern München
W
W
L
W
W
Bayern München
2:0
Union St. Gilloise
Bayern München
3:1
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
Bayern München
1:3
Arsenal
Arsenal
Bayern München
2:1
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
Bayern München
4:0
Club Brugge KV
Club Brugge KV
4
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
2.4
Scored
1.0
Conceded
12
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyPSV Eindhoven - Bayern München
PSV Eindhoven
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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