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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
21.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

PSV Eindhoven - Napoli

World Football
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
6 : 2
Finished
Napoli
Napoli

PSV Eindhoven take on Napoli on October 21, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): PSV Eindhoven 0-3-2, Napoli 1-0-1. Sportsbooks lean towards Napoli, an implied 44% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction PSV Eindhoven - Napoli October 21, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Napoli.

Line favourite market consensus: Napoli. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.24 / X 3.57 / 2 2.19
  • 1X2 market: PSV Eindhoven 29.5% / X 26.8% / Napoli 43.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%
1 29.5%
X 26.8%
2 43.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5 57.8%
Under 2.5 42.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Market 1 29.5% @ 3.24 / X 26.8% @ 3.57 / 2 43.7% @ 2.19
Match center

PSV Eindhoven - Napoli

Form 5/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.19 market consensus · line only
X 3.57 market consensus · line only
1 3.24 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.35 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.70 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.37 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.13 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.19 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.23 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.66 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.27 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.45 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.52 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.32 30.1% 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8%
X 3.55 28.2% 3.75 26.7% 3.72 26.9% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.50 28.6%
2.20 45.5% 2.13 47.0% 2.25 44.4% 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.18 45.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.40 41.7% 2.52 39.7% 2.53 39.5% 2.40 41.7% 2.38 42.0% 2.42 41.3% 2.38 42.0% 2.49 40.2% 2.55 39.2%
yes 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.52 65.8% 1.53 65.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.56 64.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.65 60.6% 1.72 58.1% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1% 1.72 58.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.25 1.08 92.6%
Over 1.5 1.20 83.3%
Over 2.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 2.75 1.82 55.0%
Over 3.0 2.08 48.1%
Over 3.5 2.55 39.2%
Over 4.5 4.50 22.2%
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 1.5 4.33 23.1%
Under 2.5 2.25 44.4%
Under 2.75 2.08 48.1%
Under 3.0 1.84 54.4%
Under 3.5 1.50 66.7%
Under 4.5 1.20 83.3%
Match center
PSV Eindhoven
D L D D L
01.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
PSV Eindhoven 1:1 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
16.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
PSV Eindhoven 1:3 Union St. Gilloise
22.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
PSV Eindhoven 1:1 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
01.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
PSV Eindhoven 1:1 Sporting CPSporting CP
17.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
PSV Eindhoven 1:3 JuventusJuventus
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
3 Points
Napoli
W L
01.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Napoli 2:1 Sporting CPSporting CP
18.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Napoli 0:2 Manchester CityManchester City
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.5 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPSV Eindhoven - Napoli

PSV Eindhoven
0 matches total
Napoli
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history