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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
05.11.2025 17:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Qarabag - Chelsea

World Football
Qarabag
Qarabag
2 : 2
Finished
Chelsea
Chelsea

Qarabag go head-to-head with Chelsea on November 5, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Qarabag 2-0-2, Chelsea 2-0-1. The market favourite is Chelsea at roughly 71%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Qarabag - Chelsea November 5, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chelsea.

Line favourite market consensus: Chelsea. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 8.55 / X 5.45 / 2 1.34
  • 1X2 market: Qarabag 11.2% / X 17.5% / Chelsea 71.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 63.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 11.2%
X 17.5%
2 71.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.9%
Over 2.5 63.4%
Under 2.5 36.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.11.2025 17:45 UTC
Market 1 11.2% @ 8.55 / X 17.5% @ 5.45 / 2 71.3% @ 1.34
Match center

Qarabag - Chelsea

Form 4/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.34 market consensus · line only
X 5.45 market consensus · line only
1 8.55 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.08 market consensus · line only
12 1.16 market consensus · line only
1X 3.35 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.08 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.32 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.48 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.49 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.58 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.96 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.80 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
8.20 12.2% 7.70 13.0% 9.10 11.0% 8.50 11.8% 8.00 12.5% 9.00 11.1%
X 5.40 18.5% 5.60 17.9% 5.64 17.7% 5.00 20.0% 5.50 18.2% 5.40 18.5%
1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.37 73.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.37 73.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.91 52.4% 2.03 49.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0% 1.93 51.8% 2.01 49.8%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2% 1.87 53.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.07 93.5% 1.09 91.7% 1.08 92.6% 1.07 93.5% 1.09 91.7% 1.09 91.7%
home_away 1.11 90.1% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.16 86.2% 1.18 84.8%
home_draw 3.20 31.3% 3.36 29.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.30 30.3% 3.45 29.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.03 97.1% 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.25 1.07 93.5%
Over 1.5 1.15 87.0% 1.11 90.1%
Over 2.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 3.0 1.84 54.4%
Over 3.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 4.5 3.85 26.0%
Over 5.5 7.00 14.3%
Under 0.5 11.00 9.1%
Under 1.5 5.25 19.1%
Under 2.5 2.55 39.2%
Under 3.0 2.06 48.5%
Under 3.5 1.62 61.7%
Under 4.5 1.25 80.0%
Under 5.5 1.09 91.7%
Match center
Qarabag
L W W L
22.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Qarabag 1:3 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
01.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Qarabag 2:0 FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen
16.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Qarabag 3:2 BenficaBenfica
27.08 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Qarabag 2:3 FerentsvaroshFerentsvarosh
2 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
6 Points
Chelsea
W W L
22.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Chelsea 5:1 AjaxAjax
30.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Chelsea 1:0 BenficaBenfica
17.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Chelsea 1:3 BavariyaBavariya
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.3 Scored
1.3 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyQarabag - Chelsea

Qarabag
0 matches total
Chelsea
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history