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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
21.01.2026 17:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Qarabag - Eintracht Frankfurt

World Football
Qarabag
Qarabag
3 : 2
Finished
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Qarabag - Eintracht Frankfurt January 21, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Eintracht Frankfurt.

Line favourite market consensus: Eintracht Frankfurt. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.00 / X 3.76 / 2 2.23
  • 1X2 market: Qarabag 31.8% / X 25.4% / Eintracht Frankfurt 42.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 62.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 31.8%
X 25.4%
2 42.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.9%
Over 2.5 62.5%
Under 2.5 37.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.01.2026 17:45 UTC
Match center

Qarabag - Eintracht Frankfurt

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.23 market consensus · line only
X 3.76 market consensus · line only
1 3.00 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.39 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.67 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.41 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.15 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.17 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.23 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.51 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.52 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.67 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.44 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.05 32.8% 3.05 32.8% 3.09 32.4% 3.00 33.3% 2.90 34.5% 2.95 33.9%
X 3.75 26.7% 4.00 25.0% 3.92 25.5% 3.50 28.6% 3.90 25.6% 3.75 26.7%
2.14 46.7% 2.16 46.3% 2.29 43.7% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.27 44.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.55 39.2% 2.67 37.5% 2.69 37.2% 2.63 38.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.67 37.5% 2.80 35.7% 2.65 37.7% 2.89 34.6%
yes 1.48 67.6% 1.48 67.6% 1.42 70.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.45 69.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.35 74.1% 1.42 70.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.42 70.4% 1.43 69.9%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.71 58.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.25 1.06 94.3%
Over 1.5 1.18 84.8% 1.10 90.9%
Over 2.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 3.0 1.88 53.2%
Over 3.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 4.5 4.20 23.8%
Over 5.5 7.50 13.3%
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 1.5 4.75 21.1%
Under 2.5 2.40 41.7%
Under 3.0 2.02 49.5%
Under 3.5 1.57 63.7%
Under 4.5 1.22 82.0%
Under 5.5 1.08 92.6%
Match center
Qarabag
L L D L W
10.12 17:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Qarabag 2:4 AjaxAjax
25.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Qarabag 0:2 NapoliNapoli
05.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Qarabag 2:2 ChelseaChelsea
22.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Qarabag 1:3 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
01.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Qarabag 2:0 FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.2 Conceded
4 Points
Eintracht Frankfurt
L L D L L
09.12 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Eintracht Frankfurt 1:2 BarselonaBarselona
26.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Eintracht Frankfurt 0:3 AtalantaAtalanta
04.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Eintracht Frankfurt 0:0 NapoliNapoli
22.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Eintracht Frankfurt 1:5 LiverpulLiverpul
30.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Eintracht Frankfurt 1:5 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.6 Scored
3.0 Conceded
1 Points