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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
12.08.2025 16:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Qarabag - Shkendija

World Football
Qarabag
Qarabag
5 : 1
Finished
Shkendija
Shkendija

Qarabag face Shkendija on August 12, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Qarabag 2-0-0, Shkendija 1-1-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The market favourite is Qarabag at roughly 71%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Qarabag - Shkendija August 12, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Qarabag.

Line favourite market consensus: Qarabag. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.31 / X 5.07 / 2 8.61
  • 1X2 market: Qarabag 70.8% / X 18.4% / Shkendija 10.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.9% 14 books · best price +2.3%
1 71.0%
X 18.4%
2 10.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.8%
Over 2.5 57.6%
Under 2.5 42.4%

Odds source: consensus of 14 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 12.08.2025 16:00 UTC
Market 1 70.9% @ 1.31 / X 18.3% @ 5.07 / 2 10.8% @ 8.61
Match center

Qarabag - Shkendija

Form 2/3 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.64 market consensus · line only
X 5.09 market consensus · line only
1 1.31 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.26 market consensus · line only
12 1.15 market consensus · line only
1X 1.07 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.40 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.53 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 6.80 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.31 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.23 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.75 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.99 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.32 75.8%
X 5.31 18.8%
9.17 10.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.35 74.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1%
X 5.00 20.0% 5.10 19.6% 5.22 19.2% 4.80 20.8% 5.25 19.1% 5.00 20.0%
8.50 11.8% 8.60 11.6% 9.20 10.9% 8.50 11.8% 7.50 13.3% 7.80 12.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.75 57.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.79 55.9%
yes 1.93 51.8% 2.17 46.1% 1.98 50.5% 1.91 52.4% 2.10 47.6% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.96 51.0% 2.03 49.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 3.20 31.3% 3.26 30.7% 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.32 30.1%
home_away 1.12 89.3% 1.17 85.5% 1.18 84.8% 1.14 87.7% 1.16 86.2% 1.16 86.2%
home_draw 1.06 94.3% 1.06 94.3% 1.06 94.3% 1.07 93.5% 1.10 90.9% 1.06 94.3%
Match center
Qarabag
W W
05.08 18:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Qarabag 1:0 ShkendijaShkendija
30.07 16:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Qarabag 1:0 ShelbourneShelbourne
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
6 Points
Shkendija
L W D
05.08 18:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Shkendija 0:1 QarabagQarabag
30.07 17:30 UTC UEFA Champions League
Shkendija 2:1 FCSBFCSB
15.07 18:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Shkendija 1:1 The New SaintsThe New Saints
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyQarabag - Shkendija

Qarabag
1 matches total
Shkendija
Qarabag: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Shkendija: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Qarabag 1:0 (05.08 18:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 05.08 18:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

05.08 18:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Qarabag
1:0
Shkendija