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Start
20.01.2026 20:00 UTC
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20.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League
Real Madrid - Monaco
6
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Real Madrid - Monaco January 20, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Madrid.
Line favourite market consensus: Real Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.32 / X 5.86 / 2 8.50
- 1X2 market: Real Madrid 72.4% / X 16.3% / Monaco 11.3%
- Total 2.5: over probability 69.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.6%
1
72.4%
X
16.3%
2
11.2%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.1%
Over 2.5
69.8%
Under 2.5
30.2%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Real Madrid - Monaco
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
8.50
market consensus · line only
X
5.86
market consensus · line only
1
1.32
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
3.46
market consensus · line only
12
1.14
market consensus · line only
1X
1.08
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
3.45
market consensus · line only
2 -1
2.76
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
6.85
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
1.30
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.35
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
3.12
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.25
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.61
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.30 76.9% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.35 74.1% | |
| X | 5.90 17.0% | 5.90 17.0% | 6.20 16.1% | 5.50 18.2% | 6.00 16.7% | 5.70 17.5% |
| 8.50 11.8% | 8.10 12.4% | 9.15 10.9% | 8.00 12.5% | 8.50 11.8% | 9.00 11.1% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.20 45.5% | 2.34 42.7% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.17 46.1% | 2.32 43.1% |
| yes | 1.62 61.7% | 1.61 62.1% | 1.61 62.1% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.61 62.1% | 1.66 60.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 3.45 29.0% | 3.56 28.1% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.35 29.9% | 3.58 27.9% |
| home_away | 1.09 91.7% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.15 87.0% |
| home_draw | 1.07 93.5% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.08 92.6% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.09 91.7% | — | 1.06 94.3% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.08 92.6% |
| Over 2.0 | — | — | 1.10 90.9% |
| Over 2.25 | — | — | 1.22 82.0% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.35 74.1% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.93 51.8% | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.00 33.3% | — | — |
| Over 5.5 | 5.25 19.1% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 7.00 14.3% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 3.10 32.3% | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.90 52.6% | 1.97 50.8% | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.38 72.5% | — | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.15 87.0% | — | — |
Match center
Real Madrid
L
W
L
W
W
Real Madrid
1:2
Manchester City
Manchester City
Real Madrid
4:3
Olympiakos Piraeus
Real Madrid
0:1
Liverpul
Liverpul
Real Madrid
1:0
Juventus
Juventus
Real Madrid
5:0
Kairat Almaty
Kairat Almaty
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
2.2
Scored
1.2
Conceded
9
Points
Monaco
W
D
W
D
D
Monaco
1:0
Galatasaray
Galatasaray
Monaco
2:2
Pafos
Pafos
Monaco
1:0
Bodo/Glimt
Monaco
0:0
Tottenkhem
Tottenkhem
Monaco
2:2
Manchester City
Manchester City
2
Wins
3
Draws
0
Losses
1.2
Scored
0.8
Conceded
9
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyReal Madrid - Monaco
Real Madrid
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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