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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
22.07.2025 17:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Rīgas FS - Malmo FF

World Football
Rīgas FS
Rīgas FS
1 : 4
Finished
Malmo FF
Malmo FF

Rīgas FS meet Malmo FF on July 22, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Rīgas FS 1-0-0, Malmo FF 1-0-0. The market favourite is Malmo FF at roughly 51%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rīgas FS - Malmo FF July 22, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Malmo FF.

Line favourite Fonbet: Malmo FF. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 4.30 / X 3.55 / 2 1.85
  • 1X2 market: Rīgas FS 22.1% / X 26.7% / Malmo FF 51.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.2% 18 books · best price +3.8%
1 22.4%
X 26.9%
2 50.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 48.7%
Under 2.5 51.3%

Odds source: consensus of 18 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.07.2025 17:00 UTC
Market 1 22.0% @ 4.30 / X 26.7% @ 3.55 / 2 51.2% @ 1.85
Match center

Rīgas FS - Malmo FF

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.85 Fonbet · line only
X 3.55 Fonbet · line only
1 4.30 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.22 Fonbet · line only
12 1.30 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.23 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.07 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.84 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.60 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
4.36 22.9%
X 3.46 28.9%
1.83 54.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.95 25.3% 3.60 27.8% 4.24 23.6% 4.00 25.0% 3.90 25.6% 4.10 24.4%
X 3.30 30.3% 3.35 29.9% 3.72 26.9% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.35 29.9%
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 1.83 54.6% 1.99 50.3% 1.92 52.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.88 53.2%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.22 82.0%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.85 54.1% 1.96 51.0% 1.91 52.4% 1.83 54.6% 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3%
Match center
Rīgas FS
W
15.07 17:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Rīgas FS 1:0 FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Malmo FF
W
15.07 17:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Malmo FF 3:1 SaburtaloSaburtalo
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRīgas FS - Malmo FF

Rīgas FS
0 matches total
Malmo FF
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history