Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
05.08.2025 18:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Shkendija - Qarabag

World Football
Shkendija
Shkendija
0 : 1
Finished
Qarabag
Qarabag

Shkendija meet Qarabag on August 5, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Shkendija 1-1-0, Qarabag 1-0-0. The market favourite is Qarabag at roughly 58%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Shkendija - Qarabag August 5, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Qarabag.

Line favourite Fonbet: Qarabag. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 5.60 / X 3.85 / 2 1.68
  • 1X2 market: Shkendija 17.3% / X 25.1% / Qarabag 57.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.7% 18 books · best price +4.2%
1 18.4%
X 25.4%
2 56.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 47.8%
Under 2.5 52.2%

Odds source: consensus of 18 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 05.08.2025 18:00 UTC
Market 1 17.3% @ 5.60 / X 25.1% @ 3.85 / 2 57.6% @ 1.68
Match center

Shkendija - Qarabag

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.68 Fonbet · line only
X 3.85 Fonbet · line only
1 5.60 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.14 Fonbet · line only
12 1.25 Fonbet · line only
1X 2.20 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.20 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.07 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.65 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.20 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.83 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.97 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
5.17 19.3%
X 3.69 27.1%
1.63 61.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
5.00 20.0% 4.55 22.0% 5.57 18.0% 5.00 20.0% 5.25 19.1% 4.85 20.6%
X 3.70 27.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.80 26.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.80 26.3% 3.65 27.4%
1.65 60.6% 1.66 60.2% 1.70 58.8% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.70 58.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 1.77 56.5% 1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.73 57.8%
yes 1.90 52.6% 2.00 50.0% 1.93 51.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 1.15 87.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.20 83.3% 1.17 85.5%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 2.15 46.5% 2.24 44.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.15 46.5%
Match center
Shkendija
W D
30.07 17:30 UTC UEFA Champions League
Shkendija 2:1 FCSBFCSB
15.07 18:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Shkendija 1:1 The New SaintsThe New Saints
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
4 Points
Qarabag
W
30.07 16:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Qarabag 1:0 ShelbourneShelbourne
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyShkendija - Qarabag

Shkendija
0 matches total
Qarabag
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history