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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
18.09.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Sporting CP - Kairat Almaty

World Football
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
4 : 1
Finished
Kairat Almaty
Kairat Almaty

Sporting CP face Kairat Almaty on September 18, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Sporting CP 2-1-0, Kairat Almaty 1-1-1. The market favourite is Sporting CP at roughly 88%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sporting CP - Kairat Almaty September 18, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sporting CP.

Line favourite market consensus: Sporting CP. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.09 / X 11.50 / 2 25.98
  • 1X2 market: Sporting CP 87.9% / X 8.4% / Kairat Almaty 3.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 73.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.4% 15 books · best price +2.8%
1 87.8%
X 8.6%
2 3.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.8%
Over 2.5 73.3%
Under 2.5 26.7%

Odds source: consensus of 15 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.09.2025 19:00 UTC
Market 1 88.0% @ 1.09 / X 8.3% @ 11.50 / 2 3.7% @ 25.98
Match center

Sporting CP - Kairat Almaty

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.09 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 7.82 market consensus · line only
12 1.05 market consensus · line only
1X 1.02 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 7.20 market consensus · line only
2 -1 5.97 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.09 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.10 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.29 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 3.54 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.57 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.33 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.09 91.7%
X 12.00 8.3%
27.25 3.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.08 92.6% 1.10 90.9% 1.10 90.9% 1.08 92.6% 1.08 92.6% 1.12 89.3%
X 11.00 9.1% 11.00 9.1% 13.70 7.3% 12.00 8.3% 11.00 9.1% 11.00 9.1%
24.00 4.2% 23.00 4.4% 30.00 3.3% 26.00 3.9% 26.00 3.9% 25.00 4.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Dafabet Marathonbet
no 1.57 63.7% 1.58 63.3% 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.54 64.9% 1.57 63.7%
yes 2.25 44.4% 2.41 41.5% 2.23 44.8% 2.20 45.5% 2.50 40.0% 2.20 45.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.48 40.3% 2.25 44.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Dafabet
draw_away 7.50 13.3% 8.60 11.6% 8.00 12.5% 8.00 12.5% 7.20 13.9% 5.20 19.2%
home_away 1.04 96.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.06 94.3% 1.05 95.2%
home_draw 1.01 99.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.03 97.1% 1.02 98.0%
Match center
Sporting CP
W D W
22.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Sporting CP 2:0 Sturm GrazSturm Graz
01.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Sporting CP 1:1 PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
17.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Sporting CP 2:0 LilleLille
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.7 Scored
0.3 Conceded
7 Points
Kairat Almaty
D L W
26.08 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Kairat Almaty 0:0 CelticCeltic
12.08 18:15 UTC UEFA Champions League
Kairat Almaty 0:1 Slovan BratislavaSlovan Bratislava
29.07 15:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Kairat Almaty 3:0 KuPSKuPS
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.3 Conceded
4 Points