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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
22.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Sporting CP - Marseille

World Football
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
2 : 1
Finished
Marseille
Marseille

Sporting CP take on Marseille on October 22, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Sporting CP 3-1-1, Marseille 1-0-1. Sportsbooks lean towards Sporting CP, an implied 44% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sporting CP - Marseille October 22, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sporting CP.

Line favourite Fonbet: Sporting CP. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.15 / X 3.65 / 2 3.20
  • 1X2 market: Sporting CP 44.2% / X 26.1% / Marseille 29.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 44.2%
X 26.1%
2 29.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.1%
Over 2.5 57.7%
Under 2.5 42.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Market 1 44.2% @ 2.15 / X 26.1% @ 3.65 / 2 29.7% @ 3.20
Match center

Sporting CP - Marseille

Form 5/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.20 Fonbet · line only
X 3.65 Fonbet · line only
1 2.15 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.70 Fonbet · line only
12 1.28 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.70 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.37 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 3.09 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.20 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.40 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.22 45.1% 2.17 46.1% 2.30 43.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.22 45.1%
X 3.55 28.2% 3.80 26.3% 3.76 26.6% 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6% 3.65 27.4%
3.05 32.8% 3.10 32.3% 3.19 31.4% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.05 32.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 2.45 40.8% 2.55 39.2% 2.42 41.3% 2.45 40.8% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.37 42.2%
yes 1.48 67.6% 1.52 65.8% 1.51 66.2% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.51 66.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 1.62 61.7% 1.69 59.2% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.38 72.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.0 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.5 1.20 83.3%
Over 2.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 2.75 1.86 53.8%
Over 3.0 2.01 49.8%
Over 3.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 4.5 4.33 23.1%
Over 5.5 7.50 13.3%
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 1.5 4.50 22.2%
Under 2.5 2.30 43.5%
Under 2.75 2.04 49.0%
Under 3.0 1.89 52.9%
Under 3.5 1.53 65.4%
Under 4.5 1.20 83.3%
Under 5.5 1.08 92.6%
Match center
Sporting CP
L W W D W
01.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Sporting CP 1:2 NapoliNapoli
18.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Sporting CP 4:1 Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty
22.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Sporting CP 2:0 Sturm GrazSturm Graz
01.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Sporting CP 1:1 PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
17.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Sporting CP 2:0 LilleLille
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
Marseille
W L
30.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Marseille 4:0 AjaxAjax
16.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Marseille 1:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySporting CP - Marseille

Sporting CP
0 matches total
Marseille
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history