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Start
20.01.2026 20:00 UTC
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20.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League
Sporting CP - Paris Saint Germain
2
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Sporting CP - Paris Saint Germain January 20, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.
Line favourite market consensus: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.32 / X 4.16 / 2 1.74
- 1X2 market: Sporting CP 22.1% / X 23.0% / Paris Saint Germain 54.9%
- Total 2.5: over probability 63.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.7%
1
22.1%
X
23.0%
2
54.9%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.7%
Over 2.5
63.5%
Under 2.5
36.5%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Sporting CP - Paris Saint Germain
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.74
market consensus · line only
X
4.16
market consensus · line only
1
4.32
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.22
market consensus · line only
12
1.24
market consensus · line only
1X
2.12
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.24
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.05
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
1.72
market consensus · line only
2 +1
2.22
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.49
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.59
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.55
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.48
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.40 22.7% | 4.35 23.0% | 4.52 22.1% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.45 22.5% | |
| X | 4.00 25.0% | 4.30 23.3% | 4.32 23.2% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.30 23.3% |
| 1.72 58.1% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.75 57.1% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.55 39.2% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.53 39.5% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.63 38.0% | 2.49 40.2% | 2.69 37.2% |
| yes | 1.48 67.6% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.47 68.0% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.47 68.0% | 1.51 66.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.20 83.3% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.24 80.7% |
| home_away | 1.20 83.3% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.23 81.3% | 1.25 80.0% |
| home_draw | 2.05 48.8% | 2.16 46.3% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.17 46.1% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.03 97.1% | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.17 85.5% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 1.50 66.7% | — | — |
| Over 3.0 | — | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| Over 3.25 | — | 2.02 49.5% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.20 45.5% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.70 27.0% | — | — |
| Over 5.5 | 6.50 15.4% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.00 9.1% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 5.00 20.0% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.55 39.2% | — | — |
| Under 3.0 | — | 2.06 48.5% | — |
| Under 3.25 | — | 1.88 53.2% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.65 60.6% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.25 80.0% | — | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.10 90.9% | — | — |
Match center
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W
D
W
L
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1:3
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Draws
2
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1.6
Scored
1.4
Conceded
7
Points
Paris Saint Germain
D
W
L
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0:0
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3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
3.0
Scored
1.6
Conceded
10
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historySporting CP - Paris Saint Germain
Sporting CP
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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