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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
21.07.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction
21.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Sturm Graz - Heart Of Midlothian

World Football
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
4 : 0
Finished
Heart Of Midlothian
Heart Of Midlothian

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sturm Graz - Heart Of Midlothian July 21, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Sturm Graz. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.83 / X 4.00 / 2 4.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 0.9%
1 54.1%
X 24.8%
2 21.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

UEFA Champions League
Best price across 13 books
1 1.92 1xBet
X 3.91 1xBet
2 4.30 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Sturm Graz 2 : 2 Heart Of Midlothian
11.77
X4.06
24.58

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:4/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude

Google AI updated21.07.2026 18:53 UTC
1 51% ✓ favourite
X 27%
2 22%
Score2:1 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:Win Shturma Grats (1)
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
Qwen updated21.07.2026 18:56 UTC
1 52% ✓ favourite
X 26%
2 22%
Score2:1 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:Win Shturm Grats (1)
Kimi updated21.07.2026 18:59 UTC
1 48% ✓ favourite
X 28%
2 24%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:1 + Under 2.5
GLM 5.2 updated21.07.2026 19:00 UTC
1 53% ✓ favourite
X 27%
2 20%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:1X
Per AI data H2H: 1-0

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 51% 27% 22% 2:1 Over 2.5 Yes Win Shturma Grats (1)
Qwen 52% 26% 22% 2:1 Over 2.5 Yes Win Shturm Grats (1)
Kimi 48% 28% 24% 1:0 Under 2.5 No
GLM 5.2 53% 27% 20% 1:0 Under 2.5 No 1X

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Match center
Start 21.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

Sturm Graz - Heart Of Midlothian

Form 5/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 4:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 52.2% fact: home hit / ROI 83.0% / Brier 0.343 / LogLoss 0.650
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 52.2% fact: home hit / ROI 83.0% / Brier 0.343 / LogLoss 0.650
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.41 market consensus · line only
X 3.71 market consensus · line only
1 1.74 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 +0.5 2.06 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.72 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.09 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.08 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.70 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.08 48.1%
yes 1.70 58.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.25 44.4%
X 2.42 41.3%
4.51 22.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.66 60.2%
Under 1 2.13 47.0%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.71 58.5%
2.06 48.5%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-0, avg 4.0 gls
2026-07-21 · Shturm Grats 4:0 Khart of Midlotian
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.82 (Betcity) · X 3.8 (Pari) · 2 4.3 (Pari)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.75 3.8 4.3
Winline 1.77 3.65 4.2
Fonbet 1.75 3.8 4.3
Betcity 1.82 3.8 4
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

1 Cards total 2
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
0 Second yellows 0
5 Substitutions 5
Source: ruscore
Sturm Graz
W L L L L
26.08 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Sturm Graz 2:1 Bodo/Glimt
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Sturm Graz 0:5 Bodo/Glimt
22.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Sturm Graz 0:2 Sporting CPSporting CP
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Sturm Graz 0:1 Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV
19.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Sturm Graz 1:2 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
0.6 Scored
2.2 Conceded
3 Points