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Start
28.01.2026 20:00 UTC
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28.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League
Union St. Gilloise - Atalanta
1
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Union St. Gilloise - Atalanta January 28, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atalanta.
Line favourite market consensus: Atalanta. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.45 / X 3.68 / 2 2.06
- 1X2 market: Union St. Gilloise 27.7% / X 25.9% / Atalanta 46.3%
- Total 2.5: over probability 57.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.7%
1
27.7%
X
26.0%
2
46.4%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5
57.7%
Under 2.5
42.3%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Union St. Gilloise - Atalanta
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.06
market consensus · line only
X
3.68
market consensus · line only
1
3.45
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.32
market consensus · line only
12
1.29
market consensus · line only
1X
1.78
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.33
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.09
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.03
market consensus · line only
2 +1
2.86
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.66
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.26
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.36
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.55
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.30 30.3% | 3.35 29.9% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.50 28.6% | |
| X | 3.65 27.4% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.84 26.0% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.60 27.8% |
| 2.04 49.0% | 2.08 48.1% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.05 48.8% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.35 42.6% | 2.41 41.5% | 2.35 42.6% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.37 42.2% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.32 43.1% | 2.49 40.2% |
| yes | 1.55 64.5% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.54 64.9% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.54 64.9% | 1.58 63.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.30 76.9% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.34 74.6% |
| home_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.31 76.3% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.31 76.3% |
| home_draw | 1.77 56.5% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.83 54.6% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 96.2% | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.03 97.1% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.08 92.6% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.22 82.0% | — | 1.16 86.2% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.21 82.6% |
| Over 2.0 | — | — | 1.27 78.7% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.65 60.6% | — | — |
| Over 2.75 | — | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.60 38.5% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.75 21.1% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.00 10.0% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 4.20 23.8% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.20 45.5% | — | — |
| Under 2.75 | — | 2.06 48.5% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.48 67.6% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.18 84.8% | — | — |
Match center
Union St. Gilloise
L
L
W
L
L
Union St. Gilloise
0:2
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Galatasaray
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Atletiko Madrid
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Inter
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1
Wins
0
Draws
4
Losses
0.8
Scored
2.4
Conceded
3
Points
Atalanta
L
W
W
W
D
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2:3
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2:1
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Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
1.6
Scored
0.8
Conceded
10
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyUnion St. Gilloise - Atalanta
Union St. Gilloise
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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