UEFA Champions League
Union St. Gilloise - Marseille
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Union St. Gilloise - Marseille December 9, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Marseille.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.01 / X 3.45 / 2 2.36
- 1X2 market: Union St. Gilloise 31.8% / X 27.7% / Marseille 40.6%
- Total 2.5: over probability 52.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Union St. Gilloise - Marseille
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.98 33.6% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.00 33.3% | |
| X | 3.40 29.4% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.54 28.3% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.45 29.0% | 3.40 29.4% |
| 2.32 43.1% | 2.35 42.6% | 2.44 41.0% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.35 42.6% | 2.38 42.0% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.15 46.5% | 2.24 44.6% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.17 46.1% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.35 42.6% |
| yes | 1.62 61.7% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.61 62.1% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.61 62.1% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.57 63.7% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.38 72.5% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.42 70.4% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.35 74.1% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.35 74.1% | 1.33 75.2% |
| home_draw | 1.57 63.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.63 61.4% | 1.63 61.4% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.05 95.2% | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.12 89.3% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.25 80.0% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 1.80 55.6% | — | — |
| Over 2.75 | — | 2.09 47.9% | — |
| Over 3.0 | — | 2.08 48.1% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 3.00 33.3% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.50 18.2% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.50 10.5% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 3.70 27.0% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.00 50.0% | — | — |
| Under 2.75 | — | 1.81 55.3% | — |
| Under 3.0 | — | 1.82 55.0% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.38 72.5% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.14 87.7% | — | — |
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Full head-to-head historyUnion St. Gilloise - Marseille
Match history
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