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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
01.10.2025 16:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Union St. Gilloise - Newcastle

World Football
Union St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise
0 : 4
Finished
Newcastle
Newcastle

Union St. Gilloise meet Newcastle on October 1, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Union St. Gilloise 1-0-0, Newcastle 0-0-1. The bookmaker line makes Newcastle the favourite at about 49%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Union St. Gilloise - Newcastle October 1, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Newcastle.

Line favourite market consensus: Newcastle. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.89 / X 3.62 / 2 1.95
  • 1X2 market: Union St. Gilloise 24.6% / X 26.4% / Newcastle 49.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7% 13 books · best price +3.6%
1 24.4%
X 26.6%
2 49.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.7%
Over 2.5 49.0%
Under 2.5 51.0%

Odds source: consensus of 13 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, Bet365, Betano, Betfair). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.10.2025 16:45 UTC
Market 1 24.6% @ 3.89 / X 26.4% @ 3.62 / 2 49.0% @ 1.95
Match center

Union St. Gilloise - Newcastle

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.95 market consensus · line only
X 3.62 market consensus · line only
1 3.89 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.26 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.89 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.29 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.07 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.94 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.74 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.97 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.89 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.98 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.79 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
3.90 25.6% 3.55 28.2% 3.96 25.3% 3.90 25.6% 4.10 24.4% 3.90 25.6%
X 3.55 28.2% 3.75 26.7% 3.74 26.7% 3.80 26.3% 3.70 27.0% 3.60 27.8%
1.92 52.1% 2.02 49.5% 2.02 49.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.95 51.3% 2.20 45.5% 1.96 51.0% 2.05 48.8% 1.88 53.2% 1.95 51.3% 1.94 51.6% 1.96 51.0% 1.90 52.6%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.68 59.5% 1.77 56.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.77 56.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.28 78.1% 1.27 78.7%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3% 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.83 54.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.94 51.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2% 1.00 100.0%
Over 0.75 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.25 1.15 87.0%
Over 1.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 2.5 1.93 51.8% 1.85 54.1%
Over 2.75 2.04 49.0%
Over 3.5 3.35 29.9%
Over 4.5 6.50 15.4%
Under 0.5 9.00 11.1%
Under 1.5 3.40 29.4%
Under 2.5 1.85 54.1% 2.05 48.8%
Under 2.75 1.86 53.8%
Under 3.5 1.30 76.9%
Under 4.5 1.10 90.9%
Match center
Union St. Gilloise
W
16.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Union St. Gilloise 3:1 PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Newcastle
L
18.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Newcastle 1:2 BarselonaBarselona
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points