UEFA Champions League
Villarreal - Manchester City
Villarreal face Manchester City on October 21, 2025 in the UEFA Champions League, World.
Recent form (W-D-L): Villarreal 0-1-1, Manchester City 3-2-0. Sportsbooks lean towards Manchester City, an implied 55% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Villarreal - Manchester City October 21, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester City.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.57 / X 3.98 / 2 1.73
- 1X2 market: Villarreal 20.9% / X 24.0% / Manchester City 55.1%
- Total 2.5: over probability 58.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Villarreal - Manchester City
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.60 21.7% | 4.45 22.5% | 4.69 21.3% | 4.40 22.7% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.75 21.1% | |
| X | 4.00 25.0% | 4.05 24.7% | 4.18 23.9% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.90 25.6% | 4.10 24.4% |
| 1.69 59.2% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.75 57.1% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.30 43.5% | 2.32 43.1% | 2.24 44.6% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.21 45.3% | 2.34 42.7% |
| yes | 1.55 64.5% | 1.61 62.1% | 1.59 62.9% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.59 62.9% | 1.65 60.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.18 84.8% | 1.23 81.3% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.22 82.0% |
| home_away | 1.20 83.3% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.27 78.7% |
| home_draw | 2.10 47.6% | 2.16 46.3% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.17 46.1% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 96.2% | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.03 97.1% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.08 92.6% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.18 84.8% | — | 1.15 87.0% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.57 63.7% | — | — |
| Over 3.0 | — | 2.09 47.9% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.40 41.7% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.20 23.8% | — | — |
| Over 5.5 | 7.50 13.3% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.00 10.0% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 4.75 21.1% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.35 42.6% | — | — |
| Under 3.0 | — | 1.83 54.6% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.55 64.5% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.22 82.0% | — | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.08 92.6% | — | — |
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Full head-to-head historyVillarreal - Manchester City
Match history
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