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Rijeka — Midtjylland

Football 27.08.2026 18:45 UTC
Favourite Midtjylland best odds 2.50

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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UEFA Conference League
UEFA Conference League
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
27.08.2026 18:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Conference League

Rijeka vs Midtjylland — Football prediction

Football
Rijeka
Rijeka
1 : 4
Finished
Midtjylland
Midtjylland

Rijeka face Midtjylland on August 27, 2026 in the UEFA Conference League.

Recent form (W-D-L): Rijeka 2-1-2, Midtjylland 4-1-0. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 Safe pick confident

Double chance Midtjylland or draw 1.09

Model confidence 75% ~81% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rijeka - Midtjylland August 27, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Midtjylland. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.85 / X 15.00 / 2 1.02

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.0% 3 books · best price +2.9%
1 33.0%
X 28.4%
2 38.6%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

UEFA Europa Conference League
League table
Rijeka
#2210 ptsGP 63-1-25:7
Midtjylland
#1012 ptsGP 44-0-011:3
Best price across 13 books
1 3.15 Betano
X 3.45 Dafabet
2 2.58 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Rijeka
W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 0.97 Conceded 0.69 xG 1.45 xGA 1.25 Corners 4.8
Midtjylland
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 2.13 Conceded 0.98 xG 2.10 xGA 0.94 Corners 5.8

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Rijeka
35%
54.00
Draw
28%
15.00
Midtjylland
37%
2.50
Handicap
Rijeka (0)
52%
5.30
Midtjylland (0)
48%
1.78
Total
Over 9.5
48%
1.90
Under 9.5
52%
1.77
Both teams to score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
2.80

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Play-by-play

Match timeline

RijekaMidtjylland
  • 4' Goal Rijeka
  • 4' Goal Rijeka
  • 7' Goal Rijeka
  • 8' Goal Rijeka
  • 13' Yellow card Rijeka
  • 15' Goal Rijeka
  • 17' Goal Midtjylland
  • 17' Goal Midtjylland
  • 21' Goal Midtjylland
  • 30' Goal Midtjylland
  • 31' Substitution Midtjylland
  • 34' Goal Rijeka
  • 37' Goal Midtjylland
  • 37' Goal Midtjylland
  • 39' Goal Midtjylland
  • 42' Goal Rijeka
  • 44' Goal Rijeka
  • 45' Goal Rijeka
  • 45' Goal Rijeka
  • 46' Substitution Rijeka
  • 46' Substitution Midtjylland
  • 48' Goal Midtjylland
  • 48' Yellow card Midtjylland
  • 51' Goal Midtjylland
  • 51' Goal Midtjylland
  • 53' Goal Rijeka
  • 55' Goal Midtjylland
  • 56' Goal Midtjylland
  • 56' Goal Midtjylland
  • 57' Substitution Midtjylland
  • 57' Substitution Midtjylland
  • 58' Goal Midtjylland
  • 62' Goal Midtjylland
  • 64' Substitution Rijeka
  • 64' Substitution Rijeka
  • 66' Goal Midtjylland
  • 69' Goal Midtjylland
  • 70' Yellow card Rijeka
  • 74' Yellow card Rijeka
  • 77' Goal Rijeka
  • 78' Goal Midtjylland
  • 78' Goal Midtjylland
  • 82' Substitution Midtjylland
  • 83' Substitution Rijeka
  • 83' Substitution Rijeka
  • 87' Goal Midtjylland
  • 89' Goal Rijeka
  • 90' Goal Rijeka

Play-by-play: gismo. For reference.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Rijeka 1 : 1 Midtjylland
12.79
X3.38
22.58

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket UEFA Conference League 26/27, Playoff Round

Playoff Round
Panathinaikos3
Hradec Kralove4
Motherwell5
Freiburg4
Lincoln Red Imps0
Larne5
Rangers6
Jablonec3
Tromsoe4
Brighton0
Klaksvik2
Riga FC1
Heart of Midlothian7
SK Rapid8
Midtjylland3
Rijeka4
Drita6
IC Escaldes4
Atalanta0
Hapoel Tel Aviv1
Inter Turku4
Copenhagen1
Getafe5
Partizan Belgrade2
PAOK4
Brann3
Enschede1
Qarabag5
Gornik Zabrze6
Monaco4
Gent2
Hibernian3
Braga2
Austria0
Sion7
Ajax7
Dinamo City5
Pafos3
Hajduk4
Czestochowa5
Vikingur Reykjavik4
Banja Luka4
Nordsjaelland3
St. Gallen3
Shamrock2
Kuopion Palloseura1
Lugano3
Maccabi Tel Aviv2

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

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Match center
Start 27.08.2026 18:45 UTC
Market 1 25.1% @ 2.85 / X 4.8% @ 15.00 / 2 70.1% @ 1.02
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Rijeka - Midtjylland

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 37.6% fact: away hit / ROI 190.0% / Brier 0.587 / LogLoss 0.979
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 37.6% fact: away hit / ROI 190.0% / Brier 0.587 / LogLoss 0.979
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X 3.25 market consensus · line only
1 2.76 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.49 market consensus · line only
X2 1.09 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.23 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.10 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.11 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 4.10 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.80 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.38 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet Leon
no 2.80 35.7% 1.98 50.5% 1.98 50.5% 1.89 52.9%
yes 1.38 72.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet
12 1.01 99.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1%
1x 11.50 8.7% 1.49 67.1% 1.49 67.1%
x2 1.09 91.7% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.49 28.7%
X 2.10 47.6%
3.15 31.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.92 52.1%
Under 1 1.82 55.0%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-2, avg 3.5 gls
2026-08-27 · Rieka 1:4 Midtyullann
2026-08-20 · Rieka 0:2 Midtyullann
Source: ruscore

Odds · 3 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.9 (Pari) · X 3.45 (Pari) · 2 2.42 (Winline)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 2.9 3.45 2.3
Winline 2.85 3.45 2.42
Liga Stavok 2.85 3.45 2.37
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Rijeka
W L L D W
2026-08-23 HNL 26/27
Rijeka Rijeka 3:2 Istra 1961
2026-08-20 UEFA Conference League 26/27, Playoff Round
Rijeka Midtjylland 2:0 Rijeka
2026-08-16 HNL 26/27
Rijeka Varazdin 2:0 Rijeka
2026-08-13 UEFA Conference League 26/27, Qualification
Rijeka Ilves Tampere 1:1 Rijeka
2026-08-06 UEFA Conference League 26/27, Qualification
Rijeka Rijeka 1:0 Ilves Tampere
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Midtjylland
W W D W W
2026-08-23 Superliga 26/27
Midtjylland 1:0 Randers Midtjylland
2026-08-20 UEFA Conference League 26/27, Playoff Round
Midtjylland 2:0 Rijeka Midtjylland
2026-08-16 Superliga 26/27
Lyngby 1:1 Midtjylland Midtjylland
2026-08-13 UEFA Conference League 26/27, Qualification
Midtjylland 3:2 Bohemians Dublin Midtjylland
2026-08-06 UEFA Conference League 26/27, Qualification
Bohemians Dublin 0:2 Midtjylland Midtjylland
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.6 Conceded
13 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Rijeka - Midtjylland

Rijeka
2 matches total
Midtjylland
Rijeka: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Midtjylland: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Midtjylland 2:0 (2026-08-20) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (2:0, 2026-08-20) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 0

Match history

2026-08-20 UEFA Conference League 26/27, Playoff Round
Midtjylland 2:0 Rijeka
20.08 17:00 UTC Europe: Conference League - Qualifying
Rieka 🇭🇷
0:2
Midtyullann 🇩🇰

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Rijeka vs Midtjylland?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Midtjylland. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Rijeka vs Midtjylland?

Live odds for Rijeka vs Midtjylland from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Rijeka vs Midtjylland start?

August 27, 2026.