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AI verdict

AI pick Tromso win probability ~65% confidence High best odds 1.01

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Tromso. Full breakdown below.

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UEFA Conference League
UEFA Conference League
3rd Qualifying round. second leg 13.08.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
13.08.2026 17:00 UTC 3rd Qualifying round. second leg
Finished

UEFA Conference League

Tromso - CFR Cluj

Football
Stadium Romssa Arena
Referee David Dickinson, Scotland
Tromso
Tromso
2 : 1
Finished
CFR Cluj
CFR Cluj

Tromso meet CFR Cluj on August 13, 2026 in the UEFA Conference League.

Recent form (W-D-L): Tromso 3-0-2, CFR Cluj 2-1-2. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 65% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Tromso — 65%

1 · Tromso ✓ Pick64.9%
market 66%
X · draw21.2%
market 21%
2 · CFR Cluj13.9%
market 13%

Model estimate: win Tromso 64.9%, draw 21.2%, win CFR Cluj 13.9%. Model favourite — Tromso.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Tromso (odds1.46) Score 2:1 confidence 57% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • • liniya na pik P1 1.65→1.45 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs Tromse 🇳🇴: probability 57% vs 69% on the line (odds 1.46)
  • • no edge over the line (-11 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tromso - CFR Cluj August 13, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tromso.

Line favourite Fonbet: Tromso. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / X 11.50 / 2 7.50
  • Glicko: Tromso 64.9% / X 21.2% / CFR Cluj 13.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.8% 5 books · best price +2.8%
1 ✓ Pick 65.6%
X 21.0%
2 13.4%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 1.65 ↓ 1.01
1X2 X 3.80 ↑ 11.50
1X2 2 4.70 ↑ 46.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

UEFA Europa Conference League
League table
Tromso
#446 ptsGP 22-0-07:1
CFR Cluj
#634 ptsGP 41-1-25:8
Best price across 14 books
1 1.60 1xBet
X 4.65 Superbet
2 6.30 Superbet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Tromso
W-D-L 3-1-1 Scored 2.28 Conceded 0.51 xG 1.41 xGA 1.10 Corners 2.8
CFR Cluj
W-D-L 6-1-3 Scored 1.52 Conceded 1.74 xG 1.45 xGA 1.09 Corners 3.6

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Tromso
Rating 1801
CFR Cluj
Rating 1574

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Tromso
65%
1.45
Draw
21%
11.50
CFR Cluj
14%
46.00
Total
Over 10.5
48%
1.91
Under 10.5
52%
1.76
Both teams to score
Yes
34%
9.50
No
66%
1.84

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Full-time statistics

Match statistics

TromsoCFR Cluj
68 Ball possession % 32
6 Shots on goal 1
7 Shots off goal 2
6 Blocked shots 1
9 Corner kicks 0
2 Offsides 0
17 Fouls 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Full-time match statistics: SStats. For reference.

Goals, cards and subs

Match events

  • 76' Substitution L. Biliboc (M. Miclaus)
  • 79' Goal
  • 46' Substitution L. O. Larsen (H. Larsen)
  • 46' Substitution A. Fica (F. Barrios)
  • 46' Substitution A. Cordea (M. Korenica)
  • 46' Substitution C. Braun (V. Kun)
  • 70' Yellow card
  • 6' Goal L. Hien (L. O. Larsen)
  • 46' Substitution L. O. Larsen (H. Larsen)
  • 84' Substitution Ieltsin Camoes (D. Braut)
  • 49' Yellow card
  • 48' Goal I. Vadebu
  • 62' Substitution T. Nyhammer (A. L. Elvebu)
  • 63' Yellow card
  • 68' Substitution A. Paun (Bruno Costa)
  • 75' Substitution D. Edvardsson (M. Mikkelsen)

Match events: SStats. For reference.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Tromso 5 : 1 CFR Cluj
11.60
X4.14
25.64

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket UEFA Conference League 26/27, Qualification

Qualification round 1
Af Elbasani6
Bate Borisov5
FK Mornar3
Atletic Club3
Glentoran3
FC RFS2
FK Decic2
Liepaja2
Mondorf-Les-Bains2
Dinamo Tbilisi3
Una Strassen1
La Fiorita2
Runavik2
Spartans3
Connah's Quay3
Ballkani2
Vllaznia Shkoder7
Malisheva1
Bohemians D.2
St Josephs0
Alashkert Yerevan8
FC Yelimai9
Hegelmann Kaunas4
Paide1
Dila Gori4
Virtus1
Vikingur5
Stjarnan3
Europa1
Shkendija Tetovo5
Sarajevo3
Inter Turku2
Pen-y-Bont3
FC Coloma1
Nomme3
Linfield2
Zira3
Kutaisi3
Differdange3
Ilves1
Velez Mostar1
Milsami2
Dinamo Minsk5
Sileks Kratovo8
Marsaxlokk1
Pyunik Yerevan3
Dinamo City1
Astana5
Caernarfon5
Levadia Tallinn5
Petrovac3
Zalgiris Vilnius4
Qualification round 2
Ajax5
Vojvodina Novi Sad5
Sutjeska Niksic4
Maxline Vitebsk2
Dinamo City4
Aluminij Kidricevo1
ETO Gyor3
Bissen7
Zalgiris Vilnius10
Dinamo Tbilisi2
Petrocub Hincesti6
Banja Luka3
Noah Yerevan3
Zimbru2
Braga4
FK Zeleznicar Pancevo1
Zrinjski Mostar3
Valur Reykjavik2
Ludogorets4
Hapoel Tel Aviv2
New Saints4
Tallinna4
HB Torshavn2
Motherwell3
SK Rapid7
FC Coloma5
Ilves8
Stjarnan5
Gent4
Cherkasy2
Sion5
Bate Borisov1
Copenhagen5
Polissya Zhytomyr4
Velez Mostar1
Dunajska Streda3
Zira2
Paide1
Ballkani9
Bohemians D.8
FK Vardar Skopje7
Riga FC5
Tobol5
Panevezys4
CFR Cluj4
Alashkert Yerevan1
KF Dukagjini2
Lugano5
Dinamo Minsk2
Baku5
Inter Turku3
Basaksehir1
Koper4
Runavik9
Derry City1
Rijeka1
CSKA 19485
Trnava3
Atletic Club4
Vaduz2
Valletta3
Czestochowa5
IF Vestri5
FC RFS2
Auda6
FCSB4
Una Strassen4
Partizan Belgrade1
Beitar Jerusalem6
Larnaca7
Coleraine5
HJK Helsinki3
Nordsjaelland7
GAIS0
Pyunik Yerevan1
Debreceni0
Austria3
Liepaja3
Varazdin5
Jablonec2
Katowice5
Zilina2
Levadia Tallinn2
Goteborg5
Nomme7
Shelbourne3
Panathinaikos3
Paksi4
Brann5
Uni Cluj3
Shkendija Tetovo5
Bravo Ljubljana2
Apollon Limassol3
Dila Gori4
Drita3
Floriana2
Hibernian6
Malisheva1
Qualification round 3
Tre Fiori1
Drita4
IC Escaldes2
Tallinna0
Jablonec2
FC RFS0
Lugano2
Runavik0
Bohemians D.0
Midtjylland2
Paide3
SK Rapid4
Hibernian2
Shkendija Tetovo1
Inter Turku2
Vaduz1
Rijeka1
Ilves0
Braga1
Dinamo Minsk0
Auda1
Dinamo City0
Zalgiris Vilnius2
Hajduk5
Ajax3
Shelbourne1
Valur Reykjavik0
Nordsjaelland2
Hapoel Tel Aviv4
Katowice1
HJK Helsinki1
Motherwell1
Goteborg0
Gent1
Debreceni5
Copenhagen4
Enschede6
Dunajska Streda0
Partizan Belgrade3
Tobol0
CFR Cluj0
Tromsoe5
Czestochowa0
Hammarby0
Brann2
Apollon Limassol5
Riga FC1
ETO Gyor0
Noah Yerevan2
Sion2
Panathinaikos2
CSKA 19483
Beitar Jerusalem1
Austria2
Banja Luka1
Maxline Vitebsk0
Dynamo Kyiv1
Qarabag0
Tiraspol1
St. Gallen3

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated10.08.2026 19:37 UTC
1 50% ✓ favourite
X 32%
2 18%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:1X and Under 3.5
Per AI data H2H: 1-0-0
Claude updated10.08.2026 19:40 UTC
1 53% ✓ favourite
X 26%
2 21%
Score2:0 Total goals: Under 3.5 BTTS:No Bet:Double chance 1X (Tromse ne proigraet) — 79%
Per AI data H2H: 1-0-0

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 50% 32% 18% 1:0 Under 2.5 No 1X and Under 3.5
Claude 53% 26% 21% 2:0 Under 3.5 No Double chance 1X (Tromse ne proigraet) — 79%

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →

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Participant opinions
1011 predictions Choose an outcome
1 81% 820
X 8% 88
2 10% 103
Match center
Stadium Romssa Arena
Referee David Dickinson, Scotland
Start 13.08.2026 17:00 UTC
Market 1 81.8% @ 1.01 / X 7.2% @ 11.50 / 2 11.0% @ 7.50
Weather +11°C slabaya drizzle Zriteley 4,220
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community Tromso 81%
🤖 7 AI models Tromso 52%
📐 Math model Tromso 65%
💹 Market Tromso 66%
✅ Humans and AI agree
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Tromso - CFR Cluj

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty vstrechi Tromse - ChFR Kluzh, 13 avgusta 2026. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Conference League UEFA 2026/2027, 3rd Qualifying round. second leg. Tromse - ChFR Kluzh, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matcha.

Lineups 11/11 probable starting lineup
Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 64.9% fact: home hit / ROI 45.0% / Brier 0.187 / LogLoss 0.432
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 64.9% fact: home hit / ROI 45.0% / Brier 0.187 / LogLoss 0.432
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Tromso 65.6% 64.9% market and model agree
Draw 21.0% 21.2% draw risk
CFR Cluj 13.4% 13.9%
1X2: 6 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 64.9% / 21.2% / 13.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,729 / 1,437 Tromso / CFR Cluj
RD 213 / 167 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,304-2,154 / 1,102-1,772 strength interval

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.98 market consensus · no value · model 13.9%
X 4.56 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 64.9%
Double chance
12 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 78.8%
1X 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 86.1%
X2 2.23 market consensus · no value · model 35.1%
Handicap
2 -1 5.00 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 7.30 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.13 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Yes 6.40 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet Leon
no 1.07 93.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4%
yes 6.40 15.6% 9.50 10.5% 9.50 10.5% 1.89 52.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet
12 1.19 84.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.01 99.0% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5%
1x 1.09 91.7% 1.07 93.5% 1.03 97.1% 1.07 93.5% 1.07 93.5%
x2 2.60 38.5% 2.70 37.0% 10.50 9.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.94 51.6%
X 2.45 40.8%
6.40 15.6%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.64 61.0%
Over 1.5 2.27 44.1%
Under 1 2.17 46.1%
Under 1.5 1.59 62.9%
Match center
5-3-2 4-3-3
1 Yakob Khaugor 3 M. Tønnessen 17 I. Dahlqvist 21 L. Hien 30 I. Vådebu 37 S. Innvær 5 D. Edvardsson 7 Lars Larsen 8 J. Grundt 10 T. Nyhammer 20 Ieltsin Camões 31 O. Vâlceanu 3 Ali Abeid 42 R. Pantalon 45 Kamora 47 C. Braun 8 A. Fica 10 Konstantin Peun-Aleksandru 88 Damyan Dzhokovich 11 Andrey Kordya 17 L. Biliboc 77 Andres Sfeyt
Tromso
Formation 5-3-2
Probable starting lineup
1 YKYakob Khaugor Yakob Khaugor
3 MTM. Tønnessen M. Tønnessen
17 IDI. Dahlqvist I. Dahlqvist
21 LHL. Hien L. Hien
30 IVI. Vådebu I. Vådebu
37 SIS. Innvær S. Innvær
5 DED. Edvardsson D. Edvardsson
7 LLLars Larsen Lars Larsen
8 JGJ. Grundt J. Grundt
10 TNT. Nyhammer T. Nyhammer
20 ICIeltsin Camões Ieltsin Camões
Head coach Yorgen Vik
CFR Cluj
Formation 4-3-3
Probable starting lineup
31 OVO. Vâlceanu O. Vâlceanu
3 AAAli Abeid Ali Abeid
42 RPR. Pantalon R. Pantalon
45 KKamora Kamora
47 CBC. Braun C. Braun
8 AFA. Fica A. Fica
10 KPKonstantin Peun-Aleksandru Konstantin Peun-Aleksandru
88 DDDamyan Dzhokovich Damyan Dzhokovich
11 AKAndrey Kordya Andrey Kordya
17 LBL. Biliboc L. Biliboc
77 ASAndres Sfeyt Andres Sfeyt
Head coach Antoniu Folya
Tromso

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

CFR Cluj

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Formations 5-3-2 / 4-3-3
SStats Market - Glicko - Form - H2H
Match center
Tromso Team form CFR Cluj
10 Matches 10
25 Goals 14
2.5 Per match 1.4
5 Wins 3
2 Draws 3
3 Losses 4

Form & head-to-head

H2H 2-0-0, avg 4.0 gls
2026-08-13 · Tromse 2:1 ChFR Kluzh
2026-08-06 · Tromse 5:0 ChFR Kluzh
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.78 (Winline) · X 4.3 (Pari) · 2 6.5 (Betcity)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.45 4.3 6
Winline 1.78 3.75 4.5
Fonbet 1.45 4.3 6
Betcity 1.45 4.2 6.5
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Tromso
W W L L W
2026-08-06 UEFA Conference League 26/27, Qualification
Tromso CFR Cluj 0:5 Tromso
2026-08-02 Eliteserien 2026
Tromso Aalesund 2:6 Tromso
2026-07-30 UEFA Europa League 26/27, Qualification
Tromso Hradec Kralove 3:1 Tromso
2026-07-23 UEFA Europa League 26/27, Qualification
Tromso Tromso 0:1 Hradec Kralove
2026-07-18 Eliteserien 2026
Tromso Hamarkameratene 1:4 Tromso
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
3.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
9 Points
CFR Cluj
L L W W D
2026-08-06 UEFA Conference League 26/27, Qualification
CFR Cluj 0:5 Tromso CFR Cluj
2026-08-02 Superliga 26/27
Rapid Bucuresti 3:1 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj
2026-07-30 UEFA Conference League 26/27, Qualification
CFR Cluj 3:0 Alashkert CFR Cluj
2026-07-27 Superliga 26/27
CFR Cluj 5:0 Voluntari CFR Cluj
2026-07-23 UEFA Conference League 26/27, Qualification
Alashkert 1:1 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTromso - CFR Cluj

Tromso
2 matches total
CFR Cluj
Tromso: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
CFR Cluj: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Tromso 0:5 (2026-08-06) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (0:5, 2026-08-06) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

5 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 5

Match history

2026-08-06 UEFA Conference League 26/27, Qualification
CFR Cluj 0:5 Tromso
06.08 16:30 UTC Europe: Conference League - Qualifying
Tromse 🇳🇴
5:0
ChFR Kluzh 🇷🇴
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Tromso
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 CFR Cluj
Tromso Team comparison CFR Cluj
1 Games 3
1 Wins 1
0 Draws 1
0 Losses 1
5 Scored 4
0 Conceded 6
3 Points 4
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
11 Shots on goal 13.33
8 Udary v stvor 3.33
Matches in history 2
Highest-scoring match 0:5
Conference League UEFA 2 / 2 / 0 / 0 / 7 / 1

Tromse ChFR Kluzh 1 Games 3 1 Wins 1 0 Draws 1 0 Losses 1 5 Scored 4 0 Conceded 6 3 Points 4 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 11 Shots on goal 13.33 8 Udary v stvor 3.33 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 7 0 Offsaydy 1 12 Foly 13 46 % vladeniya myachom 53.67 1 Warnings 2 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Leon Hien Lars Olden Larsen 1:0 6' Isak Vaadebu Troy Engset Nyukhammer 2:0 48' Meriton Korenitsa 2:1 78' Nakazaniya Adrian Peun 49' Meriton Korenitsa 63' Heine Aasen Larsen 70'

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Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tromso vs CFR Cluj?

By the PropickAI model, Tromso is favoured — about 65% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Tromso vs CFR Cluj?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Tromso. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Tromso vs CFR Cluj start?

August 13, 2026.