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UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
14.08.2025 18:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

AEK Athens FC - Aris

World Football
AEK Athens FC
AEK Athens FC
1 : 1
Finished
Aris
Aris

AEK Athens FC face Aris on August 14, 2025 in the UEFA Europa Conference League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): AEK Athens FC 0-2-0, Aris 1-1-0. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The market favourite is AEK Athens FC at roughly 61%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AEK Athens FC - Aris August 14, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AEK Athens FC.

Line favourite market consensus: AEK Athens FC. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.50 / X 4.10 / 2 5.76
  • 1X2 market: AEK Athens FC 61.4% / X 22.5% / Aris 16.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.4% 15 books · best price +4.7%
1 61.1%
X 22.8%
2 16.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.6%
Over 2.5 55.5%
Under 2.5 44.5%

Odds source: consensus of 15 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.08.2025 18:00 UTC
Market 1 61.5% @ 1.50 / X 22.5% @ 4.10 / 2 16.0% @ 5.76
Match center

AEK Athens FC - Aris

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.76 market consensus · line only
X 4.10 market consensus · line only
1 1.50 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.45 market consensus · line only
12 1.21 market consensus · line only
1X 1.12 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.45 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.90 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.30 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.53 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.69 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.11 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.95 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.77 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.56 64.1% 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.57 63.7%
X 4.00 25.0% 4.10 24.4% 4.24 23.6% 4.00 25.0% 3.90 25.6% 4.15 24.1%
5.50 18.2% 4.75 21.1% 5.98 16.7% 5.75 17.4% 5.75 17.4% 5.80 17.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.90 52.6% 2.06 48.5% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.83 54.6% 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% 1.96 51.0%
yes 1.75 57.1% 1.71 58.5% 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2% 1.79 55.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.45 40.8% 2.45 40.8% 2.45 40.8% 2.38 42.0% 2.45 40.8% 2.44 41.0%
home_away 1.17 85.5% 1.23 81.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.10 90.9% 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5% 1.12 89.3% 1.16 86.2% 1.12 89.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% 1.00 100.0%
Over 0.75 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.0 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.25 1.10 90.9%
Over 1.5 1.22 82.0% 1.18 84.8%
Over 1.75 1.24 80.7%
Over 2.0 1.30 76.9%
Over 2.25 1.49 67.1%
Over 2.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 2.75 1.80 55.6%
Over 3.5 2.75 36.4%
Under 0.5 9.50 10.5%
Under 1.5 3.95 25.3%
Under 2.5 2.10 47.6%
Under 2.75 2.02 49.5%
Under 3.5 1.42 70.4%
Match center
AEK Athens FC
D D
07.08 16:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
AEK Athens FC 2:2 ArisAris
31.07 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
AEK Athens FC 0:0 Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva
0 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
2 Points
Aris
D W
07.08 16:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Aris 2:2 AEK AfinyAEK Afiny
31.07 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Aris 2:0 Puskas Academy
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAEK Athens FC - Aris

AEK Athens FC
1 matches total
Aris
AEK Athens FC: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Aris: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 07.08 16:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (07.08 16:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

07.08 16:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
AEK Afiny
2:2
Aris