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Start
18.12.2025 20:00 UTC
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18.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa Conference League
AEK Athens FC - Universitatea Craiova
3
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction AEK Athens FC - Universitatea Craiova December 18, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AEK Athens FC.
Line favourite market consensus: AEK Athens FC. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.35 / X 4.87 / 2 8.78
- 1X2 market: AEK Athens FC 69.8% / X 19.4% / Universitatea Craiova 10.9%
- Total 2.5: over probability 53.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 6.0%
1
69.9%
X
19.4%
2
10.7%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.5%
Over 2.5
53.5%
Under 2.5
46.5%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
AEK Athens FC - Universitatea Craiova
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
8.67
market consensus · line only
X
4.87
market consensus · line only
1
1.35
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
3.18
market consensus · line only
12
1.17
market consensus · line only
1X
1.06
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
3.04
market consensus · line only
2 -1
2.40
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
6.70
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
1.39
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.77
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.04
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.68
market consensus · line only
Yes
2.10
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.33 75.2% | 1.41 70.9% | 1.37 73.0% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.37 73.0% | |
| X | 4.80 20.8% | 4.40 22.7% | 5.16 19.4% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.75 21.1% | 5.10 19.6% |
| 10.25 9.8% | 6.80 14.7% | 9.45 10.6% | 8.50 11.8% | 9.00 11.1% | 10.00 10.0% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.70 58.8% | 1.66 60.2% | 1.66 60.2% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.74 57.5% |
| yes | 2.05 48.8% | 2.19 45.7% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.07 48.3% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.08 48.1% | 2.13 47.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 3.20 31.3% | 3.28 30.5% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.14 31.9% |
| home_away | 1.17 85.5% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.16 86.2% |
| home_draw | 1.05 95.2% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.07 93.5% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.04 96.2% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.05 95.2% | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.11 90.1% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.25 80.0% | — | 1.21 82.6% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.27 78.7% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.75 57.1% | 1.89 52.9% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.85 35.1% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.25 19.1% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.50 10.5% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 3.90 25.6% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.05 48.8% | 1.93 51.8% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.42 70.4% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.15 87.0% | — | — |
Match center
AEK Athens FC
W
W
D
W
L
AEK Athens FC
2:1
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Samsunspor
AEK Athens FC
1:0
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Shamrock Rovers
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Aberdeen
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AEK Athens FC
1:3
Tsele
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3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
2.2
Scored
1.0
Conceded
10
Points
Universitatea Craiova
L
W
W
D
L
Universitatea Craiova
1:2
Sparta Praga
Sparta Praga
Universitatea Craiova
1:0
Maynts
Maynts
Universitatea Craiova
1:0
Rapid Vienna
Universitatea Craiova
1:1
FC Noah
FC Noah
Universitatea Craiova
0:2
Rakuv
Rakuv
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
0.8
Scored
1.0
Conceded
7
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAEK Athens FC - Universitatea Craiova
AEK Athens FC
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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