UEFA Europa Conference League
AEK Larnaca take on AZ Alkmaar on October 2, 2025 in the UEFA Europa Conference League, World.
The market favourite is AZ Alkmaar at roughly 43%. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AZ Alkmaar.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 14 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.20 31.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.24 30.9% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.20 31.3% | |
| X | 3.35 29.9% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.56 28.1% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.50 28.6% |
| 2.22 45.1% | 2.16 46.3% | 2.21 45.3% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.22 45.1% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Superbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.10 47.6% | 2.04 49.0% | 2.07 48.3% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.07 48.3% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.04 49.0% | 2.10 47.6% |
| yes | 1.67 59.9% | 1.76 56.8% | 1.69 59.2% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.69 59.2% | 1.69 59.2% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.35 74.1% | 1.35 74.1% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.37 73.0% | 1.35 74.1% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_draw | 1.65 60.6% | 1.68 59.5% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.68 59.5% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.05 95.2% | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.13 88.5% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.28 78.1% | — | 1.25 80.0% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.31 76.3% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.95 51.3% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 3.10 32.3% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.00 16.7% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.00 11.1% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 3.50 28.6% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 1.91 52.4% | 1.94 51.6% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.35 74.1% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.12 89.3% | — | — |
AZ Alkmaar
Levski Sofia
FC Vaduz
Ilves
Full head-to-head historyAEK Larnaca - AZ Alkmaar
The AEK Larnaca - AZ Alkmaar breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
