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UEFA Europa Conference League World

23.07.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction

23.07.2026 17:00 UTC

Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

AEK Larnaca - Beitar Jerusalem

World Football

AEK Larnaca

0 : 1

Finished

Beitar Jerusalem

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1AEK Larnaca (odds1.97) Score 1:0 Under 2.5 (odds1.65) ✓ Handicap H1 +0 (odds1.52) ✗ confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed

• liniya na pik P1 1.78→2.10 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
• Model backs AEK Larnaca: probability 50% vs 51% on the line (odds 1.97)
• no edge over the line (-1 pp) — informational only
• Expected score 1:0
• Total: Under 2.5: model expects a total of ~1 goals
• at line 2.5 (odds 1.65)
• Handicap F1 +0: score forecast 1:0 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 1.52).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AEK Larnaca - Beitar Jerusalem July 23, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Beitar Jerusalem. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.11 / X 11.50 / 2 1.03

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 53.2%

1 30.9%

X 5.7%

2 63.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

UEFA Europa Conference League

Best price across 13 books

1 2.13 Dafabet

X 3.40 Bet365

2 3.65 10Bet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

AEK Larnaca

W-D-L 3-5-2 Scored 0.85 Conceded 0.57 xG 1.17 xGA 1.56 Corners 3.3

Beitar Jerusalem

W-D-L 3-1-2 Scored 2.18 Conceded 1.79 xG 1.82 xGA 1.04 Corners 3.5

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

AEK Larnaca 1 : 1 Beitar Jerusalem

12.09

X3.18

23.60

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center

Start 23.07.2026 17:00 UTC

Match center

AEK Larnaca - Beitar Jerusalem

Form 5/4 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 44.1% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.781 / LogLoss 1.256

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 44.1% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.781 / LogLoss 1.256

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.03 Fonbet · line only

X 3.38 market consensus · line only

1 2.05 market consensus · line only

Double chance

12 1.01 Fonbet · line only

1X 9.50 Fonbet · line only

X2 1.16 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 1.01 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 1.40 Fonbet · line only

2 0 1.42 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 2.73 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 9.50 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 1.02 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.06 Fonbet · line only

Yes 6.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	1.06 94.3%	1.89 52.9%
yes	6.60 15.2%	1.81 55.3%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%	1.01 99.0%
1x	1.27 78.7%	1.24 80.7%	9.50 10.5%
x2	1.72 58.1%	1.69 59.2%	1.16 86.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	2.74 36.5%
X	2.08 48.1%
	4.26 23.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1	1.93 51.8%
Under 1	1.78 56.2%

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-1, avg 1.0 gls

2026-07-23 · AEK Larnaka 0:1 Beytar Ierusalim

Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.05 (Pari) · X 3.7 (Liga Stavok) · 2 4.1 (Liga Stavok)

Bookmaker	1	X	2
Pari	2.05	3.3	3.35
Winline	1.83	3.6	4
Fonbet	2.05	3.3	3.35
Betcity	2	3.4	3.5
Liga Stavok	1.8	3.7	4.1

Source: ruscore · line comparison

AEK Larnaca

L D W D D

19.03 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League

AEK Larnaca 1:2 Kristal Pelas

12.03 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League

AEK Larnaca 0:0 Kristal Pelas

18.12 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League

AEK Larnaca 1:0 Shkendija

11.12 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League

AEK Larnaca 1:1 BK Hacken

27.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League

AEK Larnaca 0:0 HNK Rijeka

1 Wins

3 Draws

1 Losses

0.6 Scored

0.6 Conceded

6 Points

Beitar Jerusalem

W L W W

14.08 17:30 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League

Beitar Jerusalem 3:1 Riga

07.08 17:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League

Beitar Jerusalem 0:3 Riga

31.07 17:30 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League

Beitar Jerusalem 5:2 Sutjeska

24.07 18:30 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League

Beitar Jerusalem 2:1 Sutjeska

3 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

2.5 Scored

1.8 Conceded

9 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyAEK Larnaca - Beitar Jerusalem

AEK Larnaca

0 matches total

Beitar Jerusalem

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

AEK Larnaca - Beitar Jerusalem

AI match prediction AEK Larnaca - Beitar Jerusalem July 23, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Statistics and model

Score prediction

Buy the full AI analysis

AEK Larnaca - Beitar Jerusalem

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Both teams to score

Double chance

First Half Winner

Goals Over/Under First Half

Form & head-to-head

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Match history