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Start
18.12.2025 20:00 UTC
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18.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa Conference League
AEK Larnaca - Shkendija
1
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction AEK Larnaca - Shkendija December 18, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AEK Larnaca.
Line favourite market consensus: AEK Larnaca. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.43 / X 4.59 / 2 6.76
- 1X2 market: AEK Larnaca 65.7% / X 20.4% / Shkendija 13.9%
- Total 2.5: over probability 55.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 6.5%
1
65.7%
X
20.5%
2
13.9%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.7%
Over 2.5
56.0%
Under 2.5
44.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
AEK Larnaca - Shkendija
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
6.76
market consensus · line only
X
4.59
market consensus · line only
1
1.43
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.79
market consensus · line only
12
1.18
market consensus · line only
1X
1.10
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.82
market consensus · line only
2 -1
2.15
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
5.97
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
1.42
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.69
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.15
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.84
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.90
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.42 70.4% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.45 69.0% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.47 68.0% | |
| X | 4.55 22.0% | 3.85 26.0% | 4.82 20.8% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.85 20.6% |
| 7.50 13.3% | 5.40 18.5% | 7.44 13.4% | 7.00 14.3% | 6.50 15.4% | 7.10 14.1% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.80 55.6% | 1.68 59.5% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.94 51.6% |
| yes | 1.90 52.6% | 2.15 46.5% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.83 54.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.80 35.7% | 2.88 34.7% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.80 35.7% |
| home_away | 1.15 87.0% | 1.21 82.6% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.17 85.5% |
| home_draw | 1.08 92.6% | 1.09 91.7% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.08 92.6% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 96.2% | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.04 96.2% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.08 92.6% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.22 82.0% | — | 1.17 85.5% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.22 82.0% |
| Over 2.25 | — | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| Over 2.5 | 1.73 57.8% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.80 35.7% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.25 19.1% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.00 10.0% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 4.00 25.0% | — | — |
| Under 2.25 | — | 1.98 50.5% | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.10 47.6% | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.42 70.4% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.15 87.0% | — | — |
Match center
AEK Larnaca
D
D
D
W
W
AEK Larnaca
1:1
BK Hacken
BK Hacken
AEK Larnaca
0:0
HNK Rijeka
HNK Rijeka
AEK Larnaca
0:0
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
AEK Larnaca
1:0
Kristal Pelas
Kristal Pelas
AEK Larnaca
4:0
AZ Alkmar
AZ Alkmar
2
Wins
3
Draws
0
Losses
1.2
Scored
0.2
Conceded
9
Points
Shkendija
W
L
D
W
L
Shkendija
2:0
Slovan Bratislava
Slovan Bratislava
Shkendija
0:1
Drita
Drita
Shkendija
1:1
Jagiellonia
Shkendija
1:0
Shelbourne
Shelbourne
Shkendija
0:2
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
0.8
Scored
0.8
Conceded
7
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAEK Larnaca - Shkendija
AEK Larnaca
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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