Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
21.08.2025 18:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Anderlecht - AEK Athens FC

World Football
Anderlecht
Anderlecht
1 : 1
Finished
AEK Athens FC
AEK Athens FC

Anderlecht face AEK Athens FC on August 21, 2025 in the UEFA Europa Conference League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Anderlecht 0-1-0, AEK Athens FC 0-2-0. The bookmaker line makes Anderlecht the favourite at about 45%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Anderlecht - AEK Athens FC August 21, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Anderlecht.

Line favourite Fonbet: Anderlecht. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.15 / X 3.65 / 2 3.50
  • 1X2 market: Anderlecht 45.4% / X 26.7% / AEK Athens FC 27.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.9% 17 books · best price +6.3%
1 44.8%
X 27.2%
2 28.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 49.7%
Under 2.5 50.3%

Odds source: consensus of 17 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 21.08.2025 18:00 UTC
Market 1 45.4% @ 2.15 / X 26.7% @ 3.65 / 2 27.9% @ 3.50
Match center

Anderlecht - AEK Athens FC

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.50 Fonbet · line only
X 3.65 Fonbet · line only
1 2.15 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.70 Fonbet · line only
12 1.28 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.40 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 3.23 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.80 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.92 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.05 48.8% 2.03 49.3% 2.14 46.7% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.18 45.9%
X 3.30 30.3% 3.35 29.9% 3.56 28.1% 3.20 31.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.65 27.4%
3.35 29.9% 3.25 30.8% 3.42 29.2% 3.50 28.6% 3.25 30.8% 3.45 29.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 1.95 51.3% 1.89 52.9% 2.02 49.5% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 1.95 51.3%
yes 1.70 58.8% 1.88 53.2% 1.72 58.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1% 1.33 75.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2% 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.25 1.14 87.7%
Over 1.5 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0%
Over 1.75 1.32 75.8%
Over 2.0 1.42 70.4%
Over 2.25 1.81 55.3% 1.64 61.0%
Over 2.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 3.5 3.25 30.8%
Under 0.5 8.50 11.8%
Under 1.5 3.35 29.9%
Under 2.25 2.01 49.8%
Under 2.5 1.83 54.6%
Under 3.5 1.30 76.9%
Match center
Anderlecht
D
14.08 17:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Anderlecht 1:1 Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
AEK Athens FC
D D
14.08 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
AEK Athens FC 1:1 ArisAris
31.07 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
AEK Athens FC 0:0 Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva
0 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
0.5 Scored
0.5 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAnderlecht - AEK Athens FC

Anderlecht
0 matches total
AEK Athens FC
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history