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UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
14.08.2025 16:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Ararat-Armenia - Sparta Praha

World Football
Ararat-Armenia
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 2
Finished
Sparta Praha
Sparta Praha

Ararat-Armenia face Sparta Praha on August 14, 2025 in the UEFA Europa Conference League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Ararat-Armenia 0-1-1, Sparta Praha 2-0-0. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Sportsbooks lean towards Sparta Praha, an implied 49% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ararat-Armenia - Sparta Praha August 14, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sparta Praha.

Line favourite market consensus: Sparta Praha. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.48 / X 3.82 / 2 1.86
  • 1X2 market: Ararat-Armenia 26.4% / X 24.1% / Sparta Praha 49.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.1% 15 books · best price +6.5%
1 27.1%
X 23.8%
2 49.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.6%
Over 2.5 57.6%
Under 2.5 42.4%

Odds source: consensus of 15 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.08.2025 16:00 UTC
Market 1 26.4% @ 3.48 / X 24.1% @ 3.82 / 2 49.5% @ 1.86
Match center

Ararat-Armenia - Sparta Praha

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.86 market consensus · line only
X 3.82 market consensus · line only
1 3.48 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.27 market consensus · line only
12 1.23 market consensus · line only
1X 1.87 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.30 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.08 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.92 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.38 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.63 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.21 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.25 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.58 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.40 29.4% 4.15 24.1% 3.68 27.2% 3.50 28.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.35 29.9%
X 3.70 27.0% 3.85 26.0% 4.04 24.8% 4.00 25.0% 3.70 27.0% 3.80 26.3%
1.91 52.4% 1.61 62.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.75 57.1% 1.90 52.6% 1.98 50.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.25 44.4% 2.04 49.0% 2.24 44.6% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.40 41.7% 2.21 45.3% 2.28 43.9%
yes 1.53 65.4% 1.72 58.1% 1.59 62.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.59 62.9% 1.56 64.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.35 74.1% 1.27 78.7%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0% 1.24 80.7%
home_draw 1.83 54.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.03 97.1% 1.03 97.1%
Over 0.75 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.0 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.25 1.06 94.3%
Over 1.5 1.20 83.3% 1.14 87.7%
Over 1.75 1.18 84.8%
Over 2.0 1.24 80.7%
Over 2.25 1.42 70.4%
Over 2.5 1.62 61.7% 1.73 57.8%
Over 3.5 2.55 39.2%
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 1.5 4.33 23.1%
Under 2.5 2.20 45.5% 2.09 47.9%
Under 3.5 1.48 67.6%
Match center
Ararat-Armenia
L D
07.08 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Ararat-Armenia 1:4 Sparta PragaSparta Praga
31.07 17:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Ararat-Armenia 1:1 Universitatea ClujUniversitatea Cluj
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.5 Conceded
1 Points
Sparta Praha
W W
07.08 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Sparta Praha 4:1 Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia
31.07 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Sparta Praha 4:0 AktobeAktobe
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
4.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyArarat-Armenia - Sparta Praha

Ararat-Armenia
1 matches total
Sparta Praha
Ararat-Armenia: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Sparta Praha: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Sparta Praga 1:4 (07.08 18:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (1:4, 07.08 18:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 4
4 Goals conceded 1

Match history

07.08 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Ararat-Armenia
1:4
Sparta Praga