Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
14.08.2025 17:30 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Arda Kardzhali - Kauno Žalgiris

World Football
Arda Kardzhali
Arda Kardzhali
2 : 0
Finished
Kauno Žalgiris
Kauno Žalgiris

Arda Kardzhali meet Kauno Žalgiris on August 14, 2025 in the UEFA Europa Conference League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Arda Kardzhali 1-1-0, Kauno Žalgiris 1-1-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The market favourite is Arda Kardzhali at roughly 39%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Arda Kardzhali - Kauno Žalgiris August 14, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arda Kardzhali.

Line favourite market consensus: Arda Kardzhali. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.36 / X 3.00 / 2 3.03
  • 1X2 market: Arda Kardzhali 39.0% / X 30.6% / Kauno Žalgiris 30.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 63.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.4% 15 books · best price +5.0%
1 38.6%
X 31.0%
2 30.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.8%
Over 2.5 36.7%
Under 2.5 63.3%

Odds source: consensus of 15 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 14.08.2025 17:30 UTC
Market 1 39.0% @ 2.36 / X 30.7% @ 3.00 / 2 30.4% @ 3.03
Match center

Arda Kardzhali - Kauno Žalgiris

Form 2/3 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.03 market consensus · line only
X 3.00 market consensus · line only
1 2.36 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.54 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.34 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.23 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.93 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.13 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.55 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.48 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.67 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.09 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.40 41.7% 2.13 47.0% 2.52 39.7% 2.25 44.4% 2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7%
X 2.95 33.9% 3.15 31.8% 3.08 32.5% 3.10 32.3% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3%
3.00 33.3% 2.99 33.4% 3.12 32.1% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.05 32.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.60 62.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.64 61.0% 1.80 55.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.63 61.4% 1.64 61.0%
yes 2.10 47.6% 1.94 51.6% 2.14 46.7% 1.95 51.3% 2.20 45.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.14 46.7% 2.16 46.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.53 65.4% 1.54 64.9% 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.34 74.6% 1.37 73.0%
home_draw 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.10 90.9% 1.06 94.3%
Over 0.75 1.08 92.6%
Over 1.0 1.11 90.1%
Over 1.25 1.30 76.9%
Over 1.5 1.53 65.4% 1.58 63.3%
Over 1.75 1.64 61.0%
Over 2.0 1.91 52.4%
Over 2.25 1.93 51.8% 2.25 44.4%
Over 2.5 2.65 37.7%
Over 3.5 5.25 19.1%
Under 0.5 6.25 16.0%
Under 1.5 2.38 42.0%
Under 2.25 1.89 52.9%
Under 2.5 1.44 69.4%
Under 3.5 1.13 88.5%
Match center
Arda Kardzhali
W D
07.08 16:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Arda Kardzhali 1:0 Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris
31.07 16:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Arda Kardzhali 2:2 HJK helsinkiHJK helsinki
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
4 Points
Kauno Žalgiris
L W D
07.08 16:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Kauno Žalgiris 0:1 Arda Kardzhali
31.07 18:30 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Kauno Žalgiris 2:1 Valur Reykjavik
17.07 17:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Kauno Žalgiris 1:1 PenybontPenybont
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyArda Kardzhali - Kauno Žalgiris

Arda Kardzhali
1 matches total
Kauno Žalgiris
Arda Kardzhali: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Kauno Žalgiris: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Arda Kardzhali 1:0 (07.08 16:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 07.08 16:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

07.08 16:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Arda Kardzhali
1:0
Kauno Žalgiris