Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
07.08.2025 16:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Aris - AEK Athens FC

World Football
Aris
Aris
2 : 2
Finished
AEK Athens FC
AEK Athens FC

Aris meet AEK Athens FC on August 7, 2025 in the UEFA Europa Conference League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Aris 1-0-0, AEK Athens FC 0-1-0. Sportsbooks lean towards AEK Athens FC, an implied 45% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Aris - AEK Athens FC August 7, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AEK Athens FC.

Line favourite Fonbet: AEK Athens FC. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.75 / X 3.35 / 2 2.12
  • 1X2 market: Aris 25.7% / X 28.8% / AEK Athens FC 45.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.2% 17 books · best price +7.5%
1 24.3%
X 29.7%
2 46.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%
Over 2.5 40.0%
Under 2.5 60.0%

Odds source: consensus of 17 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 07.08.2025 16:00 UTC
Market 1 25.7% @ 3.75 / X 28.8% @ 3.35 / 2 45.5% @ 2.12
Match center

Aris - AEK Athens FC

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.12 Fonbet · line only
X 3.35 Fonbet · line only
1 3.75 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.27 Fonbet · line only
12 1.33 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.72 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.26 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.08 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.99 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.40 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.40 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.70 27.0% 3.25 30.8% 3.98 25.1% 3.60 27.8% 3.90 25.6% 4.00 25.0%
X 3.10 32.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.37 29.7% 3.20 31.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3%
2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% 2.02 49.5% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.05 48.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 1.65 60.6% 1.98 50.5% 1.72 58.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.60 62.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1%
yes 2.05 48.8% 1.77 56.5% 2.03 49.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.10 47.6% 2.07 48.3% 2.20 45.5% 2.05 48.8% 1.98 50.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.29 77.5%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.67 59.9% 1.81 55.3% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.70 58.8%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.02 98.0%
Over 0.75 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.0 1.06 94.3%
Over 1.25 1.22 82.0%
Over 1.5 1.48 67.6% 1.38 72.5%
Over 1.75 1.50 66.7%
Over 2.0 1.69 59.2%
Over 2.25 1.98 50.5%
Over 2.5 2.40 41.7% 1.95 51.3% 2.38 42.0%
Over 2.75 2.69 37.2%
Over 3.5 4.75 21.1%
Under 1.5 2.55 39.2%
Under 2.5 1.53 65.4% 1.83 54.6%
Under 3.5 1.17 85.5%
Match center
Aris
W
31.07 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Aris 2:0 Puskas Academy
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
AEK Athens FC
D
31.07 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
AEK Athens FC 0:0 Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
0.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAris - AEK Athens FC

Aris
0 matches total
AEK Athens FC
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history