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UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
07.08.2025 18:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

AZ Alkmaar - FC Vaduz

World Football
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
3 : 0
Finished
FC Vaduz
FC Vaduz

AZ Alkmaar go head-to-head with FC Vaduz on August 7, 2025 in the UEFA Europa Conference League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): AZ Alkmaar 1-0-0, FC Vaduz 1-0-0. Sportsbooks lean towards AZ Alkmaar, an implied 90% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AZ Alkmaar - FC Vaduz August 7, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AZ Alkmaar.

Line favourite Fonbet: AZ Alkmaar. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.08 / X 13.00 / 2 32.00
  • 1X2 market: AZ Alkmaar 89.5% / X 7.4% / FC Vaduz 3.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 77.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.9% 11 books
1 87.9%
X 7.7%
2 4.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.1%
Over 2.5 77.3%
Under 2.5 22.7%

Odds source: consensus of 11 books (10Bet, 188Bet, Bet365, Betway, Bwin, Marathonbet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 07.08.2025 18:00 UTC
Market 1 89.5% @ 1.08 / X 7.4% @ 13.00 / 2 3.0% @ 32.00
Match center

AZ Alkmaar - FC Vaduz

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 9.15 market consensus · line only
1 1.08 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 7.90 Fonbet · line only
12 1.02 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.01 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -1 6.85 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.06 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.23 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 4.20 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.63 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.25 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.05 95.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.06 94.3% 1.06 94.3% 1.07 93.5%
X 10.00 10.0% 9.50 10.5% 16.00 6.3% 11.00 9.1% 12.00 8.3% 9.00 11.1%
19.00 5.3% 16.50 6.1% 35.00 2.9% 41.00 2.4% 26.00 3.9% 32.00 3.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 1.53 65.4% 1.59 62.9% 1.61 62.1% 1.65 60.6% 1.53 65.4% 1.65 60.6% 1.45 69.0% 1.57 63.7% 1.61 62.1%
yes 2.25 44.4% 2.27 44.1% 2.21 45.3% 2.20 45.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.12 47.2% 2.55 39.2% 2.25 44.4% 2.15 46.5%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Bwin Fonbet Marathonbet
draw_away 10.50 9.5% 10.00 10.0% 8.00 12.5% 4.60 21.7% 9.00 11.1% 7.90 12.7% 9.50 10.5%
home_away 1.01 99.0% 1.04 96.2% 1.01 99.0% 1.04 96.2% 1.02 98.0% 1.02 98.0% 1.01 99.0%
home_draw 1.01 99.0% 1.00 100.0% 1.02 98.0% 1.01 99.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.0 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.5 1.04 96.2%
Over 2.0 1.01 99.0%
Over 2.5 1.22 82.0% 1.16 86.2%
Over 2.75 1.20 83.3%
Over 3.0 1.24 80.7%
Over 3.25 1.38 72.5%
Over 3.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 4.0 1.90 52.6%
Over 4.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 5.5 3.60 27.8%
Under 2.5 3.95 25.3%
Under 3.5 2.25 44.4%
Under 4.0 1.88 53.2%
Under 4.5 1.57 63.7%
Under 5.5 1.25 80.0%
Match center
AZ Alkmaar
W
31.07 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
AZ Alkmaar 5:0 IlvesIlves
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
5.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
FC Vaduz
W
31.07 18:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
FC Vaduz 1:0 Dungannon Swifts
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAZ Alkmaar - FC Vaduz

AZ Alkmaar
0 matches total
FC Vaduz
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history