Match center
Start
18.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Sign in to unlock the full prediction
Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
18.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa Conference League
AZ Alkmaar - Jagiellonia
0
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction AZ Alkmaar - Jagiellonia December 18, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AZ Alkmaar.
Line favourite market consensus: AZ Alkmaar. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.38 / X 5.07 / 2 6.96
- 1X2 market: AZ Alkmaar 67.8% / X 18.6% / Jagiellonia 13.6%
- Total 2.5: over probability 67.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 6.6%
1
68.0%
X
18.5%
2
13.5%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.2%
Over 2.5
67.3%
Under 2.5
32.7%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Match center
AZ Alkmaar - Jagiellonia
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
6.96
market consensus · line only
X
5.07
market consensus · line only
1
1.38
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.99
market consensus · line only
12
1.15
market consensus · line only
1X
1.09
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.93
market consensus · line only
2 -1
2.35
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
6.20
market consensus · line only
2 +1
9.30
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.40
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.88
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.29
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.57
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.37 73.0% | 1.52 65.8% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.42 70.4% | |
| X | 5.10 19.6% | 4.40 22.7% | 5.40 18.5% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.25 19.1% | 5.30 18.9% |
| 7.50 13.3% | 5.10 19.6% | 7.70 13.0% | 7.00 14.3% | 7.00 14.3% | 7.30 13.7% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.35 42.6% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.35 42.6% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.26 44.3% | 2.40 41.7% |
| yes | 1.53 65.4% | 1.71 58.5% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.60 62.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 3.00 33.3% | 3.12 32.1% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 2.98 33.6% |
| home_away | 1.12 89.3% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.14 87.7% |
| home_draw | 1.08 92.6% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.07 93.5% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 96.2% | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.11 90.1% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 1.38 72.5% | — | — |
| Over 2.75 | — | 1.80 55.6% | — |
| Over 3.0 | — | 1.99 50.3% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 1.95 51.3% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.10 32.3% | — | — |
| Over 5.5 | 5.50 18.2% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.00 10.0% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 6.25 16.0% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 3.00 33.3% | — | — |
| Under 2.75 | — | 2.02 49.5% | — |
| Under 3.0 | — | 1.83 54.6% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.83 54.6% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.36 73.5% | — | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.14 87.7% | — | — |
Match center
AZ Alkmaar
W
W
L
W
L
AZ Alkmaar
3:0
Drita
Drita
AZ Alkmaar
2:0
Shelbourne
Shelbourne
AZ Alkmaar
1:3
Kristal Pelas
Kristal Pelas
AZ Alkmaar
1:0
Slovan Bratislava
Slovan Bratislava
AZ Alkmaar
0:4
AEK Larnaka
AEK Larnaka
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
1.4
Scored
1.4
Conceded
9
Points
Jagiellonia
L
W
D
D
W
Jagiellonia
1:2
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
Jagiellonia
1:0
KuPS
KuPS
Jagiellonia
1:1
Shkendija
Shkendija
Jagiellonia
1:1
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
Jagiellonia
1:0
Hamrun Spartans
Hamrun Spartans
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
1.0
Scored
0.8
Conceded
8
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAZ Alkmaar - Jagiellonia
AZ Alkmaar
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The AZ Alkmaar - Jagiellonia breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form