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UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
23.10.2025 16:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

AZ Alkmaar - Slovan Bratislava

World Football
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 0
Finished
Slovan Bratislava
Slovan Bratislava

AZ Alkmaar meet Slovan Bratislava on October 23, 2025 in the UEFA Europa Conference League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): AZ Alkmaar 2-0-1, Slovan Bratislava 0-0-1. Sportsbooks lean towards AZ Alkmaar, an implied 75% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AZ Alkmaar - Slovan Bratislava October 23, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AZ Alkmaar.

Line favourite Fonbet: AZ Alkmaar. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.27 / X 6.10 / 2 10.00
  • 1X2 market: AZ Alkmaar 74.9% / X 15.6% / Slovan Bratislava 9.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 67.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 74.9%
X 15.6%
2 9.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.5%
Over 2.5 67.1%
Under 2.5 32.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.10.2025 16:45 UTC
Market 1 74.9% @ 1.27 / X 15.6% @ 6.10 / 2 9.5% @ 10.00
Match center

AZ Alkmaar - Slovan Bratislava

Form 3/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 10.00 Fonbet · line only
X 6.10 Fonbet · line only
1 1.27 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 3.75 Fonbet · line only
12 1.13 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.48 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.90 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 6.90 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.29 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.85 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.29 77.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.27 78.7% 1.30 76.9% 1.31 76.3% 1.25 80.0%
X 5.60 17.9% 5.50 18.2% 6.06 16.5% 5.50 18.2% 6.30 15.9% 5.50 18.2%
9.10 11.0% 7.90 12.7% 10.80 9.3% 8.00 12.5% 9.75 10.3% 10.00 10.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin Fonbet
no 2.10 47.6% 1.97 50.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0%
yes 1.65 60.6% 1.81 55.3% 1.73 57.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betway Bwin
draw_away 3.40 29.4% 3.80 26.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.65 27.4% 3.80 26.3% 3.60 27.8%
home_away 1.10 90.9% 1.13 88.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5% 1.13 88.5% 1.13 88.5%
home_draw 1.06 94.3% 1.03 97.1% 1.08 92.6% 1.09 91.7% 1.05 95.2% 1.06 94.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.25 1.05 95.2%
Over 1.5 1.11 90.1% 1.07 93.5%
Over 2.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 3.0 1.87 53.5%
Over 3.25 2.05 48.8%
Over 3.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 4.5 3.25 30.8%
Over 5.5 5.75 17.4%
Under 1.5 6.25 16.0%
Under 2.5 2.90 34.5%
Under 3.0 1.95 51.3%
Under 3.25 1.84 54.4%
Under 3.5 1.80 55.6%
Under 4.5 1.33 75.2%
Under 5.5 1.12 89.3%
Match center
AZ Alkmaar
L W W
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
AZ Alkmaar 0:4 AEK LarnakaAEK Larnaka
28.08 17:30 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
AZ Alkmaar 4:1 Levski SofiaLevski Sofia
14.08 17:30 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
AZ Alkmaar 1:0 FC VaduzFC Vaduz
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.7 Scored
1.7 Conceded
6 Points
Slovan Bratislava
L
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Slovan Bratislava 1:2 StrasbourgStrasbourg
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points