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UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
28.08.2025 18:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Baník Ostrava - Celje

World Football
Baník Ostrava
Baník Ostrava
0 : 2
Finished
Celje
Celje

Baník Ostrava face Celje on August 28, 2025 in the UEFA Europa Conference League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Baník Ostrava 0-1-1, Celje 1-1-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Sportsbooks lean towards Baník Ostrava, an implied 45% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Baník Ostrava - Celje August 28, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Baník Ostrava.

Line favourite market consensus: Baník Ostrava. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.06 / X 3.72 / 2 2.99
  • 1X2 market: Baník Ostrava 44.6% / X 24.7% / Celje 30.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.6% 10 books · best price +3.4%
1 44.3%
X 24.5%
2 31.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.5%
Over 2.5 61.2%
Under 2.5 38.8%

Odds source: consensus of 10 books (10Bet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano, Betfair, Marathonbet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.08.2025 18:00 UTC
Market 1 44.6% @ 2.06 / X 24.7% @ 3.72 / 2 30.7% @ 2.99
Match center

Baník Ostrava - Celje

Form 2/3 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.99 market consensus · line only
X 3.72 market consensus · line only
1 2.06 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.71 market consensus · line only
12 1.23 market consensus · line only
1X 1.35 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.37 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.76 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.68 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.52 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.40 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.55 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.45 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet
2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.10 47.6% 1.95 51.3% 2.13 47.0%
X 3.70 27.0% 3.60 27.8% 4.00 25.0% 3.85 26.0% 3.70 27.0% 3.84 26.0%
2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 2.98 33.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Unibet
no 2.50 40.0% 2.60 38.5% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.55 39.2% 2.58 38.8% 2.77 36.1% 2.43 41.2%
yes 1.42 70.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.47 68.0% 1.45 69.0% 1.44 69.4% 1.39 71.9% 1.48 67.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.69 59.2% 1.79 55.9%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.38 72.5% 1.30 76.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 888Sport
Over 0.5 1.03 97.1% 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.5 1.17 85.5% 1.15 87.0%
Over 2.5 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7%
Over 3.5 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4%
Over 4.5 3.95 25.3% 3.80 26.3%
Over 5.5 7.00 14.3%
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0% 17.00 5.9%
Under 1.5 4.75 21.1% 5.00 20.0%
Under 2.5 2.45 40.8%
Under 3.5 1.57 63.7%
Under 4.5 1.22 82.0%
Match center
Baník Ostrava
L D
21.08 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Baník Ostrava 0:1 TseleTsele
14.08 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Baník Ostrava 1:1 Austria Vienna
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
0.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Celje
W L D
21.08 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Celje 1:0 Baník OstravaBaník Ostrava
14.08 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Celje 2:4 FC LuganoFC Lugano
17.04 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Celje 2:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.7 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBaník Ostrava - Celje

Baník Ostrava
1 matches total
Celje
Baník Ostrava: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Celje: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Tsele 0:1 (21.08 18:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 21.08 18:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

21.08 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Baník Ostrava
0:1
Tsele