Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
21.08.2025 18:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Celje - Baník Ostrava

World Football
Celje
Celje
1 : 0
Finished
Baník Ostrava
Baník Ostrava

Celje meet Baník Ostrava on August 21, 2025 in the UEFA Europa Conference League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Celje 1-1-1, Baník Ostrava 0-1-0. The market favourite is Celje at roughly 46%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Celje - Baník Ostrava August 21, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Celje.

Line favourite Fonbet: Celje. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.10 / X 3.90 / 2 3.30
  • 1X2 market: Celje 46.0% / X 24.8% / Baník Ostrava 29.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.9% 17 books · best price +4.5%
1 45.4%
X 25.1%
2 29.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.1%
Over 2.5 59.5%
Under 2.5 40.5%

Odds source: consensus of 17 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 21.08.2025 18:00 UTC
Market 1 46.0% @ 2.10 / X 24.8% @ 3.90 / 2 29.3% @ 3.30
Match center

Celje - Baník Ostrava

Form 3/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.30 Fonbet · line only
X 3.90 Fonbet · line only
1 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.75 Fonbet · line only
12 1.25 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.33 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.77 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.43 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 3.13 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.60 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.35 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.50 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.53 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.09 47.9% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3%
X 3.65 27.4% 3.80 26.3% 3.92 25.5% 3.75 26.7% 3.80 26.3% 3.70 27.0%
3.20 31.3% 2.98 33.6% 3.25 30.8% 3.10 32.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.15 31.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 2.45 40.8% 2.54 39.4% 2.53 39.5% 2.50 40.0% 2.38 42.0% 2.42 41.3% 2.55 39.2% 2.40 41.7% 2.37 42.2%
yes 1.45 69.0% 1.50 66.7% 1.47 68.0% 1.44 69.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.45 69.0% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 1.77 56.5% 1.76 56.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.30 76.9% 1.35 74.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.37 73.0% 1.38 72.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.03 97.1% 1.02 98.0%
Over 0.75 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.5 1.18 84.8%
Over 2.5 1.55 64.5% 1.71 58.5%
Over 2.75 1.76 56.8%
Over 3.0 1.87 53.5%
Over 3.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 4.5 4.00 25.0%
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 1.5 4.50 22.2%
Under 2.5 2.35 42.6% 2.11 47.4%
Under 2.75 2.06 48.5%
Under 3.0 1.95 51.3%
Under 3.5 1.55 64.5%
Under 4.5 1.22 82.0%
Match center
Celje
L D W
14.08 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Celje 2:4 FC LuganoFC Lugano
17.04 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Celje 2:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
24.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Celje 5:1 BaşakşehirBaşakşehir
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
3.0 Scored
2.3 Conceded
4 Points
Baník Ostrava
D
14.08 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Baník Ostrava 1:1 Austria Vienna
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCelje - Baník Ostrava

Celje
0 matches total
Baník Ostrava
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history