UEFA Europa Conference League
Celje - FC Lugano
Celje meet FC Lugano on August 14, 2025 in the UEFA Europa Conference League, World.
Recent form (W-D-L): Celje 2-1-1, FC Lugano 2-0-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Sportsbooks lean towards Celje, an implied 38% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Celje - FC Lugano August 14, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Celje.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.44 / X 3.51 / 2 2.54
- 1X2 market: Celje 37.6% / X 26.2% / FC Lugano 36.2%
- Total 2.5: over probability 59.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 14 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Celje - FC Lugano
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.45 40.8% | 2.13 47.0% | 2.59 38.6% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.55 39.2% | |
| X | 3.45 29.0% | 3.65 27.4% | 3.64 27.5% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.45 29.0% |
| 2.55 39.2% | 2.65 37.7% | 2.63 38.0% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.52 39.7% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Pinnacle | Superbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.45 40.8% | 2.47 40.5% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.45 40.8% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.48 40.3% | 2.45 40.8% |
| yes | 1.45 69.0% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.48 67.6% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.47 68.0% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.49 67.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.50 66.7% | 1.51 66.2% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.52 65.8% | 1.51 66.2% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.28 78.1% |
| home_draw | 1.48 67.6% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.52 65.8% | 1.50 66.7% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 96.2% | — | 1.03 97.1% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.03 97.1% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.18 84.8% | — | 1.13 88.5% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.17 85.5% |
| Over 2.0 | — | — | 1.21 82.6% |
| Over 2.25 | — | — | 1.37 73.0% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.57 63.7% | — | — |
| Over 3.0 | — | 1.95 51.3% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.40 41.7% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.95 25.3% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.50 10.5% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 4.50 22.2% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.30 43.5% | — | — |
| Under 3.0 | — | 1.87 53.5% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.53 65.4% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.22 82.0% | — | — |
Celje
FC Lugano
Fiorentina
Başakşehir
FC Lugano
Tsele
HJK helsinki
Full head-to-head historyCelje - FC Lugano
Overall statistics
Match history
FC Lugano
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