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UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
06.11.2025 17:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Celje - Legia Warszawa

World Football
Celje
Celje
2 : 1
Finished
Legia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa

Celje take on Legia Warszawa on November 6, 2025 in the UEFA Europa Conference League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Celje 3-0-1, Legia Warszawa 2-0-2. The bookmaker line makes Celje the favourite at about 42%. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Celje - Legia Warszawa November 6, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Celje.

Line favourite market consensus: Celje. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.25 / X 3.50 / 2 2.99
  • 1X2 market: Celje 41.7% / X 26.8% / Legia Warszawa 31.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.5%
1 41.7%
X 26.8%
2 31.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.6%
Over 2.5 53.8%
Under 2.5 46.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.11.2025 17:45 UTC
Market 1 41.7% @ 2.25 / X 26.8% @ 3.50 / 2 31.4% @ 2.99
Match center

Celje - Legia Warszawa

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.99 market consensus · line only
X 3.50 market consensus · line only
1 2.25 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.63 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.38 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.29 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.00 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.96 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.05 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.22 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.61 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.24 44.6% 2.21 45.3% 2.36 42.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4%
X 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.58 27.9% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8%
3.05 32.8% 2.85 35.1% 3.04 32.9% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.05 32.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.21 45.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.18 45.9% 2.38 42.0%
yes 1.57 63.7% 1.63 61.4% 1.59 62.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.59 62.9% 1.61 62.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.62 61.7% 1.63 61.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.59 62.9%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.36 73.5% 1.41 70.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.37 73.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2% 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.0 1.06 94.3%
Over 1.25 1.09 91.7%
Over 1.5 1.25 80.0% 1.19 84.0%
Over 1.75 1.24 80.7%
Over 2.0 1.32 75.8%
Over 2.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 2.75 1.98 50.5%
Over 3.5 2.85 35.1%
Over 4.5 5.25 19.1%
Under 0.5 9.50 10.5%
Under 1.5 3.85 26.0%
Under 2.5 2.05 48.8%
Under 2.75 1.84 54.4%
Under 3.5 1.42 70.4%
Under 4.5 1.15 87.0%
Match center
Celje
W W W L
23.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Celje 2:0 Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Celje 3:1 AEK AfinyAEK Afiny
28.08 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Celje 2:0 Baník OstravaBaník Ostrava
14.08 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Celje 2:4 FC LuganoFC Lugano
3 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.3 Scored
1.3 Conceded
9 Points
Legia Warszawa
W L L W
23.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Legia Warszawa 2:1 Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Legia Warszawa 0:1 SamsunsporSamsunspor
28.08 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Legia Warszawa 2:3 HibernianHibernian
17.04 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Legia Warszawa 2:1 ChelseaChelsea
2 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCelje - Legia Warszawa

Celje
0 matches total
Legia Warszawa
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history