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Start
18.12.2025 20:00 UTC
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18.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa Conference League
Celje - Shelbourne
0
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Celje - Shelbourne December 18, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Celje.
Line favourite market consensus: Celje. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.31 / X 5.26 / 2 9.16
- 1X2 market: Celje 71.6% / X 18.0% / Shelbourne 10.4%
- Total 2.5: over probability 59.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 6.3%
1
71.8%
X
17.9%
2
10.3%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.0%
Over 2.5
59.7%
Under 2.5
40.3%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Celje - Shelbourne
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
8.86
market consensus · line only
X
5.26
market consensus · line only
1
1.31
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
3.30
market consensus · line only
12
1.15
market consensus · line only
1X
1.06
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
3.31
market consensus · line only
2 -1
2.58
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
7.05
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
1.33
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.58
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.34
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.83
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.91
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.32 75.8% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.35 74.1% | |
| X | 5.10 19.6% | 6.20 16.1% | 5.47 18.3% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.30 18.9% |
| 9.10 11.0% | 11.50 8.7% | 9.75 10.3% | 9.00 11.1% | 8.00 12.5% | 10.50 9.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.85 54.1% | 1.63 61.4% | 1.84 54.4% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.88 53.2% |
| yes | 1.85 54.1% | 2.24 44.6% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.96 51.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 3.30 30.3% | 3.44 29.1% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.25 30.8% |
| home_away | 1.15 87.0% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.14 87.7% |
| home_draw | 1.05 95.2% | 1.05 95.2% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.04 96.2% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 96.2% | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.03 97.1% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.05 95.2% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.18 84.8% | — | 1.13 88.5% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.57 63.7% | — | — |
| Over 3.0 | — | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.40 41.7% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.20 23.8% | — | — |
| Over 5.5 | 8.00 12.5% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.00 10.0% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 4.75 21.1% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.35 42.6% | — | — |
| Under 3.0 | — | 1.92 52.1% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.55 64.5% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.22 82.0% | — | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.07 93.5% | — | — |
Match center
Celje
L
L
W
W
W
Celje
0:3
HNK Rijeka
HNK Rijeka
Celje
1:2
Sigma Olomouts
Sigma Olomouts
Celje
2:1
Legia Warszawa
Celje
2:0
Shamrock Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
Celje
3:1
AEK Afiny
AEK Afiny
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
1.6
Scored
1.4
Conceded
9
Points
Shelbourne
L
L
L
L
D
Shelbourne
0:3
Kristal Pelas
Kristal Pelas
Shelbourne
0:2
AZ Alkmar
AZ Alkmar
Shelbourne
0:1
Drita
Drita
Shelbourne
0:1
Shkendija
Shkendija
Shelbourne
0:0
BK Hacken
BK Hacken
0
Wins
1
Draws
4
Losses
0.0
Scored
1.4
Conceded
1
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyCelje - Shelbourne
Celje
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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