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UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
06.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Crystal Palace - AZ Alkmaar

World Football
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
3 : 1
Finished
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar

Crystal Palace take on AZ Alkmaar on November 6, 2025 in the UEFA Europa Conference League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Crystal Palace 1-1-1, AZ Alkmaar 3-0-1. Sportsbooks lean towards Crystal Palace, an implied 66% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Crystal Palace - AZ Alkmaar November 6, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Crystal Palace.

Line favourite market consensus: Crystal Palace. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.43 / X 4.69 / 2 6.76
  • 1X2 market: Crystal Palace 65.9% / X 20.1% / AZ Alkmaar 14.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.0%
1 65.9%
X 20.1%
2 13.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.6%
Over 2.5 59.2%
Under 2.5 40.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Market 1 65.9% @ 1.43 / X 20.1% @ 4.69 / 2 13.9% @ 6.76
Match center

Crystal Palace - AZ Alkmaar

Form 3/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.76 market consensus · line only
X 4.69 market consensus · line only
1 1.43 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.79 market consensus · line only
12 1.18 market consensus · line only
1X 1.10 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.82 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.19 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.88 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.42 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.60 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.32 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.97 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.77 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.42 70.4% 1.43 69.9% 1.47 68.0% 1.44 69.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.47 68.0%
X 4.70 21.3% 4.70 21.3% 4.84 20.7% 4.50 22.2% 4.75 21.1% 4.85 20.6%
7.10 14.1% 5.90 17.0% 7.02 14.3% 6.50 15.4% 6.50 15.4% 7.30 13.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.95 51.3% 2.07 48.3% 1.97 50.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.94 51.6% 2.05 48.8%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.74 57.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.80 35.7% 2.82 35.5% 2.70 37.0% 2.75 36.4% 2.82 35.5% 2.76 36.2%
home_away 1.14 87.7% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.19 84.0% 1.17 85.5%
home_draw 1.10 90.9% 1.10 90.9% 1.11 90.1% 1.12 89.3% 1.13 88.5% 1.08 92.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.03 97.1% 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.5 1.18 84.8% 1.14 87.7%
Over 1.75 1.17 85.5%
Over 2.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 3.0 1.92 52.1%
Over 3.5 2.50 40.0%
Over 4.5 4.33 23.1%
Over 5.5 8.00 12.5%
Under 0.5 11.00 9.1%
Under 1.5 4.75 21.1%
Under 2.5 2.30 43.5%
Under 3.0 1.90 52.6%
Under 3.5 1.50 66.7%
Under 4.5 1.20 83.3%
Under 5.5 1.07 93.5%
Match center
Crystal Palace
L W D
23.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Crystal Palace 0:1 AEK LarnakaAEK Larnaka
02.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Crystal Palace 2:0 Dynamo KyivDynamo Kyiv
28.08 16:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Crystal Palace 0:0 FredrikstadFredrikstad
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
0.7 Scored
0.3 Conceded
4 Points
AZ Alkmaar
W L W W
23.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
AZ Alkmaar 1:0 Slovan BratislavaSlovan Bratislava
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
AZ Alkmaar 0:4 AEK LarnakaAEK Larnaka
28.08 17:30 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
AZ Alkmaar 4:1 Levski SofiaLevski Sofia
14.08 17:30 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
AZ Alkmaar 1:0 FC VaduzFC Vaduz
3 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.3 Conceded
9 Points