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UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
11.12.2025 17:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Drita - AZ Alkmaar

World Football
Drita
Drita
0 : 3
Finished
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar

Drita meet AZ Alkmaar on December 11, 2025 in the UEFA Europa Conference League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Drita 3-2-0, AZ Alkmaar 3-0-2. The market favourite is AZ Alkmaar at roughly 68%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Drita - AZ Alkmaar December 11, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AZ Alkmaar.

Line favourite market consensus: AZ Alkmaar. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 7.94 / X 4.73 / 2 1.37
  • 1X2 market: Drita 11.9% / X 19.9% / AZ Alkmaar 68.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.7%
1 11.8%
X 19.8%
2 68.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.4%
Over 2.5 53.9%
Under 2.5 46.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 11.12.2025 17:45 UTC
Market 1 11.8% @ 7.94 / X 19.8% @ 4.73 / 2 68.4% @ 1.37
Match center

Drita - AZ Alkmaar

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.37 market consensus · line only
X 4.73 market consensus · line only
1 7.94 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.08 market consensus · line only
12 1.17 market consensus · line only
1X 2.97 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.10 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.40 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.62 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.06 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.77 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.98 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
9.10 11.0% 7.30 13.7% 8.45 11.8% 8.00 12.5% 7.50 13.3% 9.50 10.5%
X 4.55 22.0% 4.85 20.6% 5.09 19.7% 4.75 21.1% 4.50 22.2% 4.70 21.3%
1.37 73.0% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.70 58.8% 1.81 55.3% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.73 57.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.77 56.5% 1.76 56.8%
yes 2.05 48.8% 1.98 50.5% 1.97 50.8% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.92 52.1% 2.04 49.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.06 94.3% 1.07 93.5% 1.08 92.6% 1.10 90.9% 1.09 91.7% 1.06 94.3%
home_away 1.15 87.0% 1.19 84.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8% 1.19 84.0% 1.16 86.2%
home_draw 3.00 33.3% 3.12 32.1% 3.00 33.3% 2.75 36.4% 3.05 32.8% 2.98 33.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2% 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.0 1.05 95.2%
Over 1.25 1.09 91.7%
Over 1.5 1.25 80.0% 1.19 84.0%
Over 1.75 1.24 80.7%
Over 2.0 1.31 76.3%
Over 2.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 2.75 1.83 54.6%
Over 3.5 3.00 33.3%
Over 4.5 5.75 17.4%
Under 0.5 9.50 10.5%
Under 1.5 3.70 27.0%
Under 2.5 2.00 50.0%
Under 2.75 2.06 48.5%
Under 3.5 1.38 72.5%
Under 4.5 1.13 88.5%
Match center
Drita
W W D D W
27.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Drita 1:0 ShkendijaShkendija
06.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Drita 1:0 ShelbourneShelbourne
23.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Drita 1:1 Omonia Nicosia
02.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Drita 1:1 KuPSKuPS
28.08 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Drita 1:0 FC Differdange 03FC Differdange 03
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.4 Conceded
11 Points
AZ Alkmaar
W L W L W
27.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
AZ Alkmaar 2:0 ShelbourneShelbourne
06.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
AZ Alkmaar 1:3 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
23.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
AZ Alkmaar 1:0 Slovan BratislavaSlovan Bratislava
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
AZ Alkmaar 0:4 AEK LarnakaAEK Larnaka
28.08 17:30 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
AZ Alkmaar 4:1 Levski SofiaLevski Sofia
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyDrita - AZ Alkmaar

Drita
0 matches total
AZ Alkmaar
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history