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UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
27.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Fiorentina - AEK Athens FC

World Football
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
0 : 1
Finished
AEK Athens FC
AEK Athens FC

Fiorentina face AEK Athens FC on November 27, 2025 in the UEFA Europa Conference League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Fiorentina 3-0-1, AEK Athens FC 2-1-1. The market favourite is Fiorentina at roughly 54%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fiorentina - AEK Athens FC November 27, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fiorentina.

Line favourite market consensus: Fiorentina. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.75 / X 3.64 / 2 4.66
  • 1X2 market: Fiorentina 53.8% / X 25.9% / AEK Athens FC 20.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.1%
1 53.9%
X 25.9%
2 20.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.4%
Over 2.5 48.4%
Under 2.5 51.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Market 1 53.9% @ 1.75 / X 25.9% @ 3.64 / 2 20.2% @ 4.66
Match center

Fiorentina - AEK Athens FC

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.66 market consensus · line only
X 3.64 market consensus · line only
1 1.75 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.06 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 1.19 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.12 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.57 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.00 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.70 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.96 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.84 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.87 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.74 57.5% 1.68 59.5% 1.81 55.3% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1%
X 3.60 27.8% 3.75 26.7% 3.68 27.2% 3.50 28.6% 3.75 26.7% 3.80 26.3%
4.85 20.6% 4.55 22.0% 4.84 20.7% 4.50 22.2% 4.75 21.1% 5.20 19.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.85 54.1% 1.84 54.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.97 50.8%
yes 1.83 54.6% 1.94 51.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.15 46.5% 2.02 49.5%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.27 78.7%
home_draw 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.17 85.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.06 94.3% 1.02 98.0%
Over 0.75 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.25 1.14 87.7%
Over 1.5 1.30 76.9% 1.26 79.4%
Over 1.75 1.33 75.2%
Over 2.5 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3%
Over 3.5 3.35 29.9%
Over 4.5 6.50 15.4%
Under 0.5 8.50 11.8%
Under 1.5 3.35 29.9%
Under 2.5 1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5%
Under 3.5 1.30 76.9%
Under 4.5 1.10 90.9%
Match center
Fiorentina
L W W W
06.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Fiorentina 1:2 MayntsMaynts
23.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Fiorentina 3:0 Rapid Vienna
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Fiorentina 2:0 Sigma OlomoutsSigma Olomouts
28.08 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Fiorentina 3:2 Polessya
3 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.3 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
AEK Athens FC
D W L W
06.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
AEK Athens FC 1:1 Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers
23.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
AEK Athens FC 6:0 AberdeenAberdeen
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
AEK Athens FC 1:3 TseleTsele
28.08 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
AEK Athens FC 2:0 AnderlechtAnderlecht
2 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFiorentina - AEK Athens FC

Fiorentina
0 matches total
AEK Athens FC
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history