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UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
28.08.2025 18:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Fiorentina - Polessya

World Football
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
3 : 2
Finished
Polessya
Polessya

Fiorentina face Polessya on August 28, 2025 in the UEFA Europa Conference League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Fiorentina 2-1-0, Polessya 1-0-2. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The market favourite is Fiorentina at roughly 75%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fiorentina - Polessya August 28, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fiorentina.

Line favourite market consensus: Fiorentina. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.23 / X 5.70 / 2 10.07
  • 1X2 market: Fiorentina 74.5% / X 16.2% / Polessya 9.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 62.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.2% 10 books · best price +2.8%
1 74.2%
X 16.5%
2 9.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.3%
Over 2.5 62.1%
Under 2.5 37.9%

Odds source: consensus of 10 books (10Bet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano, Betfair, Marathonbet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.08.2025 18:00 UTC
Market 1 74.7% @ 1.23 / X 16.1% @ 5.70 / 2 9.1% @ 10.07
Match center

Fiorentina - Polessya

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.77 market consensus · line only
X 5.70 market consensus · line only
1 1.23 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.65 market consensus · line only
12 1.10 market consensus · line only
1X 1.04 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.55 market consensus · line only
2 -1 3.06 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.27 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.33 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.50 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.46 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.71 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.01 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet
1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.20 83.3% 1.24 80.7%
X 5.50 18.2% 5.50 18.2% 5.50 18.2% 5.50 18.2% 5.50 18.2% 5.80 17.2%
9.50 10.5% 11.00 9.1% 8.50 11.8% 9.75 10.3% 11.00 9.1% 11.75 8.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Unibet
no 1.73 57.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.65 60.6% 1.71 58.5% 1.66 60.2%
yes 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 2.10 47.6% 1.95 51.3% 2.10 47.6% 2.02 49.5% 2.07 48.3%

Double chance

Outcome 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet SBO SStats Consensus Unibet
draw_away 3.80 26.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.90 25.6% 3.88 25.8% 3.26 30.7% 3.40 29.4% 3.90 25.6%
home_away 1.13 88.5% 1.10 90.9% 1.14 87.7% 1.12 89.3% 1.07 93.5% 1.10 90.9%
home_draw 1.05 95.2% 1.04 96.2% 1.07 93.5% 1.02 98.0% 1.04 96.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 888Sport
Over 0.5 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.5 1.14 87.7% 1.17 85.5%
Over 2.5 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4%
Over 3.5 2.25 44.4% 2.38 42.0%
Over 4.5 3.85 26.0% 4.00 25.0%
Over 5.5 8.00 12.5%
Under 0.5 15.00 6.7%
Under 1.5 5.25 19.1% 4.80 20.8%
Under 2.5 2.50 40.0% 2.40 41.7%
Under 3.5 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4%
Under 4.5 1.22 82.0%
Match center
Fiorentina
W W D
21.08 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Fiorentina 3:0 Polessya
08.05 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Fiorentina 2:1 Real BetisReal Betis
17.04 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Fiorentina 2:2 TseleTsele
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.3 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Polessya
L L W
21.08 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Polessya 0:3 FiorentinaFiorentina
14.08 17:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Polessya 1:2 PaksPaks
31.07 16:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Polessya 4:1 FC Santa ColomaFC Santa Coloma
1 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.7 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFiorentina - Polessya

Fiorentina
1 matches total
Polessya
Fiorentina: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Polessya: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Fiorentina 3:0 (21.08 18:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (3:0, 21.08 18:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 3

Match history

21.08 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Fiorentina
3:0
Polessya