UEFA Europa Conference League
Fiorentina - Polessya
Fiorentina face Polessya on August 28, 2025 in the UEFA Europa Conference League, World.
Recent form (W-D-L): Fiorentina 2-1-0, Polessya 1-0-2. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The market favourite is Fiorentina at roughly 75%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Fiorentina - Polessya August 28, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fiorentina.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.23 / X 5.70 / 2 10.07
- 1X2 market: Fiorentina 74.5% / X 16.2% / Polessya 9.3%
- Total 2.5: over probability 62.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 10 books (10Bet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano, Betfair, Marathonbet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Fiorentina - Polessya
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.25 80.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.24 80.7% | |
| X | 5.50 18.2% | 5.50 18.2% | 5.50 18.2% | 5.50 18.2% | 5.50 18.2% | 5.80 17.2% |
| 9.50 10.5% | 11.00 9.1% | 8.50 11.8% | 9.75 10.3% | 11.00 9.1% | 11.75 8.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.73 57.8% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.71 58.5% | 1.66 60.2% |
| yes | 1.91 52.4% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.10 47.6% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.02 49.5% | 2.07 48.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet | SBO | SStats Consensus | Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 3.80 26.3% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.88 25.8% | 3.26 30.7% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.90 25.6% |
| home_away | 1.13 88.5% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.07 93.5% | 1.10 90.9% | — |
| home_draw | 1.05 95.2% | 1.04 96.2% | 1.07 93.5% | 1.02 98.0% | — | 1.04 96.2% | — |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 888Sport |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | 1.03 97.1% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.14 87.7% | 1.17 85.5% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.50 66.7% | 1.53 65.4% |
| Over 3.5 | 2.25 44.4% | 2.38 42.0% |
| Over 4.5 | 3.85 26.0% | 4.00 25.0% |
| Over 5.5 | — | 8.00 12.5% |
| Under 0.5 | — | 15.00 6.7% |
| Under 1.5 | 5.25 19.1% | 4.80 20.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 2.50 40.0% | 2.40 41.7% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.60 62.5% | 1.53 65.4% |
| Under 4.5 | 1.22 82.0% | — |
Fiorentina
Real Betis
Tsele
Polessya
Fiorentina
Paks
FC Santa Coloma
Full head-to-head historyFiorentina - Polessya
Overall statistics
Match history
Polessya
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form