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UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
06.11.2025 17:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

FSV Mainz 05 - Fiorentina

World Football
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
2 : 1
Finished
Fiorentina
Fiorentina

FSV Mainz 05 meet Fiorentina on November 6, 2025 in the UEFA Europa Conference League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): FSV Mainz 05 3-0-0, Fiorentina 4-0-0. The market favourite is FSV Mainz 05 at roughly 42%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FSV Mainz 05 - Fiorentina November 6, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FSV Mainz 05.

Line favourite market consensus: FSV Mainz 05. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.23 / X 3.23 / 2 3.27
  • 1X2 market: FSV Mainz 05 42.1% / X 29.1% / Fiorentina 28.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.4%
1 42.2%
X 29.1%
2 28.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.2%
Over 2.5 45.1%
Under 2.5 54.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.11.2025 17:45 UTC
Market 1 42.2% @ 2.23 / X 29.1% @ 3.23 / 2 28.7% @ 3.27
Match center

FSV Mainz 05 - Fiorentina

Form 3/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.27 market consensus · line only
X 3.23 market consensus · line only
1 2.23 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.64 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.32 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.66 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.29 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.26 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.92 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.11 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.73 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.91 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.82 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.24 44.6% 2.17 46.1% 2.29 43.7% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.22 45.1%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.36 29.8% 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.30 30.3%
3.35 29.9% 3.20 31.3% 3.36 29.8% 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8% 3.35 29.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.91 52.4% 1.97 50.8% 1.88 53.2% 1.95 51.3% 1.83 54.6% 1.93 51.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.86 53.8% 1.99 50.3%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.81 55.3% 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.70 58.8% 1.62 61.7%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.35 74.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.32 75.8% 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.30 76.9% 1.35 74.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1% 1.32 75.8%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.07 93.5% 1.03 97.1%
Over 0.75 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.0 1.05 95.2%
Over 1.25 1.18 84.8%
Over 1.5 1.38 72.5% 1.32 75.8%
Over 1.75 1.41 70.9%
Over 2.25 1.76 56.8%
Over 2.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 3.5 3.75 26.7%
Over 4.5 7.50 13.3%
Under 0.5 8.00 12.5%
Under 1.5 3.00 33.3%
Under 2.25 2.06 48.5%
Under 2.5 1.70 58.8%
Under 3.5 1.25 80.0%
Under 4.5 1.08 92.6%
Match center
FSV Mainz 05
W W W
23.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
FSV Mainz 05 1:0 ZrinjskiZrinjski
02.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
FSV Mainz 05 1:0 Omonia Nicosia
28.08 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
FSV Mainz 05 4:1 Rosenborg
3 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.3 Conceded
9 Points
Fiorentina
W W W W
23.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Fiorentina 3:0 Rapid Vienna
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Fiorentina 2:0 Sigma OlomoutsSigma Olomouts
28.08 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Fiorentina 3:2 Polessya
08.05 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Fiorentina 2:1 Real BetisReal Betis
4 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.5 Scored
0.8 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFSV Mainz 05 - Fiorentina

FSV Mainz 05
0 matches total
Fiorentina
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history