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UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
28.08.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

FSV Mainz 05 - Rosenborg

World Football
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
4 : 1
Finished
Rosenborg
Rosenborg

FSV Mainz 05 face Rosenborg on August 28, 2025 in the UEFA Europa Conference League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): FSV Mainz 05 0-0-1, Rosenborg 3-0-0. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The bookmaker line makes FSV Mainz 05 the favourite at about 72%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FSV Mainz 05 - Rosenborg August 28, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FSV Mainz 05.

Line favourite market consensus: FSV Mainz 05. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.28 / X 5.41 / 2 8.66
  • 1X2 market: FSV Mainz 05 72.1% / X 17.2% / Rosenborg 10.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 62.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.0% 11 books · best price +3.1%
1 72.0%
X 17.2%
2 10.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.3%
Over 2.5 62.6%
Under 2.5 37.4%

Odds source: consensus of 11 books (10Bet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano, Betfair, Marathonbet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.08.2025 19:00 UTC
Market 1 72.2% @ 1.28 / X 17.1% @ 5.41 / 2 10.7% @ 8.66
Match center

FSV Mainz 05 - Rosenborg

Form 1/3 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.33 market consensus · line only
X 5.41 market consensus · line only
1 1.28 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.39 market consensus · line only
12 1.12 market consensus · line only
1X 1.05 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.28 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.60 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 7.30 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.33 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.49 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.49 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.86 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.84 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet
1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.27 78.7% 1.33 75.2% 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9%
X 5.25 19.1% 5.00 20.0% 5.25 19.1% 5.40 18.5% 5.50 18.2% 5.65 17.7%
8.00 12.5% 8.50 11.8% 8.50 11.8% 8.50 11.8% 9.00 11.1% 8.40 11.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet Unibet
no 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.84 54.4% 1.93 51.8% 1.83 54.6% 1.94 51.6%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8% 1.90 52.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.75 57.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 3.35 29.9% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.81 26.3%
home_away 1.10 90.9% 1.17 85.5% 1.11 90.1% 1.15 87.0% 1.13 88.5% 1.13 88.5%
home_draw 1.03 97.1% 1.06 94.3% 1.04 96.2% 1.09 91.7% 1.06 94.3% 1.05 95.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 888Sport
Over 0.5 1.03 97.1% 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.5 1.15 87.0% 1.15 87.0%
Over 2.5 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7%
Over 3.5 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5%
Over 4.5 3.95 25.3% 4.00 25.0%
Over 5.5 7.50 13.3%
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0% 17.00 5.9%
Under 1.5 5.00 20.0% 4.80 20.8%
Under 2.5 2.50 40.0%
Under 3.5 1.57 63.7%
Under 4.5 1.22 82.0%
Match center
FSV Mainz 05
L
21.08 16:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
FSV Mainz 05 1:2 Rosenborg
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Rosenborg
W W W
21.08 16:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Rosenborg 2:1 MayntsMaynts
14.08 17:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Rosenborg 1:0 Hammarby FFHammarby FF
31.07 16:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Rosenborg 2:0 Banga
3 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.7 Scored
0.3 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFSV Mainz 05 - Rosenborg

FSV Mainz 05
1 matches total
Rosenborg
FSV Mainz 05: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Rosenborg: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Rosenborg 1:2 (21.08 16:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 21.08 16:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

21.08 16:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Maynts
1:2
Rosenborg